The population of Iraq is divided into three groups: The Shi'ites (60% of the population), the Sunnis (23% of the population), and the Kurds (17% of the population). Saddam Hussein was a Sunni, and his Ba'ath Party was dominated by Sunnis. During his rule, this minority group dominated the country and oppressed the Shi'ites. The Kurds in the north waged their own separate battle for an independent nation, clashing with Turkey as often as they did with Hussein.
When Bush came in promising democracy to Iraq, the Shi'ites rejoiced because they are the majority, and the basic one-person-one-vote principle of democracy pretty much guaranteed that they would get to run the country. Unfortunately for them, the Bush people never actually intended for democracy to take root in Iraq, because they knew the Shi'ites would use democracy to elect a fundamentalist regime with ideological ties to Iran and then throw democracy out the back door. For a time, the Shi'ites were willing to cooperate with the American occupiers because they thought democracy was coming. Shi'ite Ayatollah Sistani counseled patience to his people, but that patience has ended. The Shi'ite people are now listening to Muqtada al-Sadr and killing as many Americans as they can find.
The words 'total failure' do not capture the enormity of this American action in Iraq during the last year. Why do we stay? Why would we stay?
This, in the end, is the ultimate failure of George W. Bush and his people. There were no terrorists in Iraq before the invasion, but they are there now. There was no open warfare between the religious factions in Iraq before the invasion, but now blood runs in the streets. Bush and his people ballyhooed the 'international coalition' that participated in this invasion, but the truth is we are all alone. We slapped down the United Nations to such a degree that this body, which could help us by replacing our troops with a true international coalition, wants nothing to do with us. That hardly matters, because the Bush administration wants nothing to do with them.
If a magic wand was waved and Bush decided to pull our soldiers out of Iraq, the nation would collapse into a bloodbath that would make Rwanda look like a picnic by comparison. Muqtada al-Sadr and his radical followers would take the nation, and Iraq would become a terrorist stronghold much the way Afghanistan did after we abandoned that nation to its fate in 1989. The entire Middle East would become destabilized. The wobbly House of Saud could fall and place all that oil into the hands of Wahabbi fundamentalists like Osama bin Laden. The chaos could reach all the way to Pakistan, where radical fundamentalists would love to topple that government and come into possession of that nation's battery of nuclear weapons.
There is no simple solution. An immediate withdrawal will set the stage for an incalculable slaughter in an Iraqi civil war, more terrorism against the United States, half a dozen more wars in the Middle East, the world's petroleum falling into the hands of al Qaeda, and the potential for Pakistani nukes in the hands of bin Laden. Staying in Iraq, conversely, will bring us more dead and wounded American soldiers, more dead and wounded Iraqi civilians, more terrorism against America, and billions and billions more dollars poured onto the sand.
http://truthout.org/docs_04/040604A.shtmlThe only solution involves a long-term strategy. Elect Kerry. Get Kerry to open the 'reconstruction' contracts to actual bidding. Corrporations from France, Germany, Spain, Jordan, Egypt etc. will get contracts, and will be able to get a share of the billions of dollars to be made. Get the goddam Houston no-bid contractors out.
The first rule of this globalized world: Where the money is, the armies will follow. Open the contracting to the international community, and the armies of the international community will come to protect the investment. The American soldiers who inspire such demonstrable hatred from the Iraq people can be rotated home.
Cynical as hell, but the only solution.