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CBS screws up their weighting too! (wrong forum, please move!)

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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:43 PM
Original message
CBS screws up their weighting too! (wrong forum, please move!)
Edited on Fri Sep-17-04 06:51 PM by Teaser
Jesus Christ, I didn't believe in the poll conspiracy bullshit, but I'm sure as hell starting too!

In the recent CBS poll:

Rs: 36%
Ds: 32%

Can you believe this? Why are dem's not answering the phone?
Party ID can switch a little, but not this much in such a short amount of time.

I'm at a loss to explain these Republican oversamples...

unless...rove ain't been playing with the polls themselves.
I'm wondering if there has been a concerted Republican effort to make sure R's answer their phones for polls this year? Any mailings going out encouraging this?

source: CBS own writeup on the poll:

link

In most CBS News Polls, Democrats outnumber Republicans among registered voters. Personal identification with a party can change (temporarily or permanently) with events and voting preferences. In many states voters do not register with a party, and individual identification is a matter of choice. In this poll, where the Republicans hold a significant lead in voter preference and more voters hold negative views about Democratic nominee John Kerry, when voters are asked about their partisan identification at the end of the questionnaire, more identify themselves as Republicans. 36 percent say they are Republican, 32 percent Democrats. The percentage that identifies themselves as Democrats in this poll is lower than it has been in CBS News Polls conducted earlier in the year.

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City Lights Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. Are pollsters allowed to call "do not call" numbers? eom
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LisaL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:46 PM
Response to Original message
2. Even if dems were answering phones less than republicans
they could always adjust it accordingly. It looks like a conspiracy to show that Bush is ahead.
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DuaneBidoux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:47 PM
Response to Original message
3. Can I ask your source for data?
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billbuckhead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:49 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Likely voter polls by corporate media always skews repuKKKe
Their model is built around picking more RepuKKKes cause they supposedly vote more than us.
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Shoeempress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:48 PM
Response to Original message
4. Dems not answering, out campaigning for Kerry
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WLKjr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:51 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. exactly
we aren't at home because we are in the streets, organizing, registering, canvassing. We don't have time to sit at home on our asses waiting for a phone call.
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 07:19 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. and registering voters! nt
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 06:51 PM
Response to Original message
6. That includes poll-busters who say they're "D".
:shrug:
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 07:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. these whore pollsters will be in for a big surprise...
come november.
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Digit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-17-04 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
10. Dems just have a more robust social life
and are curious, creative, and adventurous.
NOT sitting at home to answer polls.
Think of the Republicans you know.

I thought so....
There's your answer.
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