ABC:The bounce that wasn't a bounce okay a slight bounce but wait...

[underpants]

it was a bounce.

ABC WNT tonight (hosted by the ex-former Mrs. Michael Douglas Elizabeth Vargas) lead off this story with ~"there was no bounce" then within two minutes announced that there was a bounce (4-6 %). This was of course in contrast to the oft quoted (by the RW and sympathizers) WaPo/ABC poll from before the conventions that was so off the charts from any other poll it rendered itself meaningless a fact which is backed up by this new poll.

They make sure that the differences in responses from "likely voters" and "registered voters" are noted but see the link below and the tables showing the MASSIVE gains (compared to the pre-convention poll) made by Kerry..........which isn't a bounce so stop saying that.

http://www.abcnews.go.com/sections/politics/Vote2004/kerry_bounce_poll_040802.html

Aug 2, 2004— John Kerry took a tepid bump in support out of his nominating convention, gaining an advantage over President Bush among registered voters — but not so among those most likely to vote.

The Massachusetts senator gained five to eight points among registered voters on issues and attributes alike, while Bush lost about as many. And after a convention that focused heavily on his military experience in Vietnam, Kerry leads Bush as "better qualified to be commander-in-chief," by 52 percent to 44 percent.

[trotsky]

1. "which isn't a bounce so stop saying that"

*SNORT*

OK, Bob! ;-)

[ClintonTyree]

2. When Bush's numbers.....................

remain the same or decline after the RNC I wonder if it'll receive the same amount of coverage? Doubtful, I'm sure there will be another "terra" warning or some other "breaking" story that will take the nation's mind off the news.

[trotsky]

3. Or they'll report a 2% rise in one poll as a "HUGE BOUNCE"

and they'll be sure to mention it's because the race was already so tight, that there are so few undecideds, etc., etc.

There is no limit to media whoredom.

[underpants]

4. Will this same paragraph be in the postRNC convention story?

That net shift of eight points is about half the average, 15 points, for challengers running against incumbents in elections since 1968 (ranging from +30 for Bill Clinton in 1992 to -3 for George McGovern in 1972). The average bounce for all candidates is 12 points.

And notice that no mention is made of W's 13 point bounce in 2000.