The ADP reported losses have been much larger than BLS numbers for the past few months, but with ADP numbers this bad, expect Friday's report to show at least 600,000 jobs lost. This will be the 15th straight month of job losses.
From
http://www.adpemploymentreport.com/pdf/FINAL_Report_March_09.pdf">ADP:
Nonfarm private employment decreased 742,000 from February to March 2009 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report®.
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March’s ADP Report estimates nonfarm private employment in the service-providing sector fell by 415,000. Employment in the goods-producing sector declined 327,000, the twenty-seventh consecutive monthly decline. Employment in the manufacturing sector declined 206,000, its thirty-seventh consecutive decline.
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In March, construction employment dropped 118,000. This was its twenty-sixth consecutive monthly decline, and brings the total decline in construction jobs since the peak in January 2007 to 1,135,000.
• Total small business employment: -284,000
• Total medium business employment: -330,000
• Total large business employment: -128,000