PARIS - Flooded fields in central Europe, a harsh Black Sea winter and low rainfall in France have dimmed the prospects for this summer's wheat crop, adding to tightening world supplies next season, analysts said on Friday.
French new crop wheat futures have rallied strongly this month as the supply/demand outlook for next season has tightened. The benchmark November position is up around five euros to above 119 euros (US$152.2) a tonne since early May as initial forecasts of a much bigger EU crop have been reined in. French analyst Strategie Grains this week cut its forecast for European Union grain output next season by two million tonnes to just under 265 million, three percent up on 2005.
Wheat was trimmed by 1.5 million tonnes to 118.8 million, still up 3 percent or some four million tonnes on 2005.
"In central Europe, wheat yields have been revised down to take account of the impact of excess water levels in the soil caused by melting snow and high precipitation levels this spring," it said in its monthly report for May.
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