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Iran Cuts Off Natural Gas Exports To Turkey To Meet Domestic Needs - BakuNet/Radio Fardha

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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-03-07 01:37 PM
Original message
Iran Cuts Off Natural Gas Exports To Turkey To Meet Domestic Needs - BakuNet/Radio Fardha
Iranian authorities say the country has stopped supplying natural gas to neighboring Turkey in order to meet growing demand at home this winter, Radio Farda reports.

Iranian Oil Minister Kazem Vaziri Hamaneh said he had apologized to Turkey's energy minister but added that he hoped the opening of a major gas refinery in Iran's southern Fars Province by the end of this week would help solve the problem.

Eleven of Iran's provinces are currently facing gas shortages, including some of the coldest areas like Kurdistan, Zanjan, and East and West Azerbaijan, according to Radio Farda.

The state-run gas company, National Iranian Gas Company, warned of the shortages there, and added that a "nationwide" cut in supplies could follow.

EDIT

http://www.bakutoday.net/view.php?d=31640
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GliderGuider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-03-07 02:16 PM
Response to Original message
1. Declining oil and gas exports
There is good reason to expect oil and gas exports in general to decline faster than overall production, as producing countries keep their resources at home to satisfy domestic needs before feeding the export market. We may be seeing a sign of this here, as well as with the Canadian NG export prediction (down 10% this year so we can feed the tar baby).

If Cantarell declines as expected this year, the USA will be on the front lines of the next wave of the energy crisis by next winter, squeezed by Canadian gas and Mexican oil.
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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-03-07 02:34 PM
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2. Wow. It's finally happening, isn't it.
First the exports begin to dry up.

We're moving out of Denial. Next is Anger, right?
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bananas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-03-07 06:18 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. No, it isn't: "gas consumption has risen by 45 percent year-on-year"
Read the rest of the article: "Deputy Oil Minister Hasan Kasai told ILNA on January 1 that gas consumption has risen by 45 percent year-on-year."

Pretty hard for production to keep up with that.

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NickB79 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-03-07 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Yes, it is
Demand is outpacing supply. That is a classic Peak Oil/Peak Gas prediction, that as we enter the plateau phase production slows, then levels off, and then declines. At the same time, worldwide demand continues to go up. That appears to be what's happening here. Iran has been in oil and natural gas decline for several years now, and can no longer export what they now need for domestic use.
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4dsc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-04-07 01:19 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Not to mention the weather
I imagine that if the US were to have a serious bout of cold weather, like we did in the winter of 1972-72, we would have problems here in the US too. Very big problems and nobody is addressing that issue.. With both Mexico and Canada cutting back on exports, its only a matter of time for us!!
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-03-07 02:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. Now we know the real reason why Iran has a nuke program
They probably anticipate a rather severe fall-off in oil production capacity within the next few years. Without nukes, it's back to nomadic feudalism, and the status of being a vassal state to the West.

Of course, as modernity retreats from Iran as quickly as it arrived, a lot of people will be angry, and a lot of ayatollahs will face the same fate as the Shah. But the small tincture of nationalistic schadenfreude we may feel for the collapse of "Islamic Republicanism" in Iran won't compensate for the overall collapse as it spreads to the "indispensible power(s)" -- US.

On the other hand, I'm not sure that even a major, multi-source, solar/ wind/ nnuclear/ tidal/ geothermal/ biofuel program can stop the decline now. But it also means less time for some jolly, ego-boosting wars.

--p!
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Delphinus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-03-07 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. That was my first thought!
For the boy king to press the UN to impose sanctions on Iran for trying to take care of its people is beyond the pale.
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