4 Tracking polls today: Kerry gained in two and Bush in two

[WI_DEM]

TIPP--has the race tied, with Kerry gaining two points.
Zogby gives the chimp a 2-point edge--Bush up 1
Rasmussen gives the chimp a 3-point edge--Bush up less than a point.
ABC-WA Post has chimp up by 4, but it's a 2-point overall gain for Kerry (who was down by six yesterday)

In other words a deadheat. If you average all these tracking polls, Bush has a 2-point edge, a statistical dead heat.

[Jack_Dawson]

1. Bush had a 13 point lead over Gore

at this time in 2000. Polls are fucking worthless. Why people buy in is beyond me.

[Goldmund]

2. Only in the Gallup Poll

In the Zogby poll, Gore actually had a 2-point lead 12 days before the 2000 election.

[Jack_Dawson]

4. See what I mean?

a 15-point swing between polls

[Goldmund]

5. Oh, I'm not disputing your point

and it is especially valid in this particular election, when everybody is predicting record turnout and the highest ever participation of first-time voters.

[mzmolly]

3. Yep.

National Polls:

AP-Ipsos: Kerry 49, Bush 46, Nader 2
Marist: Bush 49, Kerry 48, Nader 1
Pew: Bush 47, Kerry 47, Nader 1
Harris: Bush 49.5, Kerry 44.5,Nader 1**
NBC News: Bush 48, Kerry 48, Nader 1
FOX News: Bush 49, Kerry 42, Nader 2