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... is that an authoritarian fascism will take over, the experience of Italy and Germany is instructive. In both those countries, the leaders maintained the appearance of the usual forms of government and the rule of law.
So, what did the country do when there was evidence of tampering in the last three elections? A small percentage screamed bloody murder--the rest were busy shopping and watching reruns of "Laverne & Shirley." In Germany, Hitler convinced Hindenburg to dissolve the Reichstag, so that new elections could be held (since the Nazis didn't have a majority).
When calamity struck, Congress feared challenging Bush's "emergency powers" as commander-in-chief, in the same way that Hitler invoked the Enabling Act, which gave him the power to do what he wished, bypassing the Reichstag.
In both Germany and Italy, the structure of the government was pretty much unchanged--but the executive was amplified--the courts were still there, the parliaments were still there, but they were all perverted to serving the interests of the executive.
The differences between now and then is that both Mussolini and Hitler had created cults of personality around themselves, so that the people would see the state when it saw them. That worked pretty well for Bush in his first term, but not so well now--Katrina shattered that illusion. The powers that be among the Republicans will not allow Bush to seize control. They will want, very much, to see an orderly transfer of power to someone else in 2009. That person will, of course, be another Republican who wins with a small enough margin to make it seem like a democratic contest.
That's the way it happens. Gradually, without any outward appearance of great upheaval or arbitrary seizure of power, so people don't notice. When dissidents start getting picked up, the people won't notice, either. What happened when thousands of people of Arab descent were picked up after 9/11? Some noticed and worried about diminution of rights. Most people feared that the terrorists were all around us, among us, which is exactly what the Bushies wanted people to think by rounding up so many people.
The US isn't immune to what happened in Italy and Germany, although lots of average citizens think so. And yet, it is happening slowly enough not to be noticed.
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