ABC POLL IS BULLSHIT. Their sampling methodology is all screwed up.

[jefferson_dem]

The one that shows a supposed tightening in the race. Problem is...

They oversample Repukes big time so their results are very biased in that direction.

In fact, if you look at the demographics, they question more Repukes than Dems (34 / 33) for the first time since June '05. <See below.>

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
11/4/06 LV 33 34 30 2 1
11/4/06 RV 35 32 30 2 1
11/4/06 All 33 30 32 3 2
10/22/06 30 28 36 4 2
10/8/06 38 27 31 3 1
9/7/06 33 32 30 3 2
8/6/06 34 27 34 4 1
6/25/06 33 28 35 3 *
5/15/06 34 28 33 4 1
5/11/06 33 30 33 3 1
4/9/06 34 29 34 3 0
3/5/06 32 28 36 3 1
1/26/06 32 27 34 6 *
1/8/06 31 30 34 5 1
12/18/05 33 32 33 2 *
11/2/05 31 27 38 3 1
9/11/05 31 27 34 8 1
9/2/05 32 31 31 5 2
8/28/05 32 29 33 5 1
6/26/05 34 28 32 5 1
6/5/05 30 31 34 4 *

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_110406.htm

****

This simply does not square with reality! Rasmussen had a report the other day that said the difference between self-identified Democrats and Repukes is the largest they've ever seen - advantage Dems. <See below> Correct for this partisan bias in the ABC sample and the results would better reflect the reality.

Partisan Trends: Dems Peaking at the Right Time
November 1, 2006
In the final full month before Election 2006, the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans has fallen to its lowest level since we began reporting this measure of partisan trends in January 2004. As a result, Democrats have their biggest net advantage of the past two campaign cycles.

In October, just 31.5% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s a startling decline of nearly six percentage points from 37.2% two years ago. It’s also down nearly a full point from last month.

Democrats have also lost a little ground since October 2004. Today, 37.7% identify themselves as Democrats, down a point from 38.7% on the eve of Election 2004.

However, Democrats now have a 6.2 percentage point advantage over the GOP, their largest recorded over the past 34 months. In October 2004, the Democrats advantage was a miniscule 1.5 percentage points.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/October%20Dailies/OctoberPartyAffiliationTrends.htm

[Mark E. Smith]

1. Thanks

That poll had been bugging me all morning.

[IADEMO2004]

2. If it isn't close people won't watch

[bigwillq]

3. Exactly

They still have two more days to go to sell their stories.

[Kagemusha]

4. Mehlman says the electorate can't be that heavily Dem, so polls = wrong

Guess he complained loud enough that he got some results.

[pretzel4gore]

5. simply put, ABC's a liar, and a fraud...

the men running the pigmedia, including abc, are 'enemy combatants' for quick reference as to what they are up to viz their secret political initiatives..
iow, KISS (Keep It Simple Smartypants)

[MattP]

6. Is half the country born again?

They polled like 45% born again, I don't know anybody that calls themselves born again.

[ChiciB1]

7. Mason-Dixon Shows Whitehouse Just Blew A 14 Pt. Lead In One

day!! I'm getting very confused!

[Pragmatic Pilgrim]

8. BIG "Undecided," huh? We gotta persuade!!

Anybody planning to call Undecided or Infrequent voters today & tomorrow might take a look at my thread called "Hints for Persuading on the Phone." Let's make those calls count!