Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

CNN poll flawed (margin of error +/- 5, small poll)

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
MalloyLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:11 AM
Original message
CNN poll flawed (margin of error +/- 5, small poll)
The details of the CNN/WMUR poll are out, after the jump. One thing that surprised me slightly: It has a margin for error of +/-5 points, and was a pretty small poll.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/CNNWMUR_No_bounce.html#comments
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Capn Sunshine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:13 AM
Response to Original message
1. New Hampshire is a pretty small state
hey , knock yourself out rationalizing.

It's not gonna help, your girl's campaign advisors are the worst ever.
Like I've been saying for a year now.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I dont think Malloy supports Hill.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:17 AM
Response to Original message
3. state polls have shitty MOE frequently
They take a smaller sample, and you're more likely to screw up.

That said, a look at a cross section of similar polls (meta-analysis) firms up the MOE a bit.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Breeze54 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:18 AM
Response to Original message
4. All polls have a margin of error +/- 5
:P
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:19 AM
Response to Original message
5. All of them have Obama ahead comfortably.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:20 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. All of them were taken all or mostly before last night's debate. nt
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:23 AM
Response to Original message
7. You are being factually inaccurate. The MOE for the NEW CNN poll is +/- 4
The quote you have and link refers to the CNN poll from yesterday that has Obama and Clinton tied. The Actual MOE is 4 percent which is right in line with most other polls. This is the poll linked below that has Obama up 10.

http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2008/images/06/topnh11.pdf

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:25 AM
Response to Original message
8. That's pretty standard for a state poll. Your OP exposes your ignorance.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
chascarrillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-07-08 12:25 AM
Response to Original message
9. A +/- 5% MoE does not mean it's a flawed poll.
Really, now.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Fri May 03rd 2024, 09:31 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC