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Latest pre-NH polls. Let's see which one will be the most accurate, if any

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antiimperialist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:49 PM
Original message
Latest pre-NH polls. Let's see which one will be the most accurate, if any
Suffolk/WHDH Obama +5.0
American Res. Group Obama +9.0
ReutersC-Span/Zogby Obama +13.0
Rasmussen Obama +7.0
CNN/WMUR/UNH Obama +9.0
Marist Obama +8.0
CBS News Obama +7.0
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
1. The pollsters could not anticipate and factor in tears.
:shrug:
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KennedyGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:51 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Gee..do I see you tearing up a bit?
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Not me. I'm a realist. I'm just fine. I suspected that Hillary could
pull in some pity votes. I'm not shocked at all.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
2. If The Current Results Are Anywhere Close I Can't Remember So Many Polls Being So Far Off
~
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TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:51 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Someone said that the CNN exit polls were roughly 39/38 Obama
That would place the polls - all of them - off significantly.
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Sancho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
3. None of the above!
:toast:
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:50 PM
Original message
I don't think Clinton's lead will hold, but if it does. Whoa!
Someone will have some major splainin' to do.
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TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
4. McCain did very well. It's possible that the pollsters overestimated (I) percentages on the Dem side
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fightindonkey Donating Member (674 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:51 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Youth Vote Stayed Home? Independents Went McCain?
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Repubicans went to Clinton?
Naw it couldn't be, could it?
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TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:03 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Not according to the polls.
Marist had Obama ahead 36-28, but had Clinton leading Dems 36-30.

So, higher (I) turnout on the Democratic side would favor Obama.

Lower (I) turnout and a higher percentage of Dems would favor Hillary.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:00 PM
Response to Original message
10. I think several weighed the independants incorrectly. They were always close among registered Dems
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