What AreThe Current Polls Saying In Florida, Michigan, Nevada, South Carolina?

[fightindonkey]

These are the four left in January, I believe. Anyone have current poll results for the primaries here?

[SteppingRazor]

1. Realclearpolitics.com is a pretty good poll aggregator...

on its opening page, it's got polls showing Obama ahead by 7 in SC, and Clinton ahead by 8 in Florida.

It doesn't list new polls for Michigan or Nevada, though.

[tekisui]

2. What good will the results in FL and MI be? Bragging rights? Does it count for momentum?

[fightindonkey]

4. Is He Not On The Ballot?

[SteppingRazor]

15. Michigan and Florida disobeyed the Democratic Party and elected to have their primaries...

earlier than Feb. 5. Thus, the party has said it will not seat any of those states' delegates at the convention.

[tekisui]

16. Florida and Michigan have been stripped of their delegates for leapfrogging.

[tekisui]

17. IIRC, Clinton and Kucinich are the only D's on the ballot in MI

When they broke the rules, the others withdrew.

[rinsd]

7. MI will have little impact but FL could have an effect on momentum.

The momentum would be in terms of perception going into Sooper-Dooper Tues.

[JackORoses]

9. did you see that Hill's lead in Florida is down to 8?

what do you make of that?

[William769]

Her lead in New Hampshire was negitive 10.

[JackORoses]

23. if you have trouble spelling negative, you can always use a -

[William769]

24. I sometimes do things out of the ordinary just to miff people.

Apparently it's worked here. :rofl:

[rinsd]

20. FL polling is likely to follow the national heats since candidates are not allowed to campaign there

Since nat heats have gotten very close in the wake of Obama's IA victory, I was not surprised to see FL mirror his rise.

[SteppingRazor]

10. There's the old domino effect, though, as far as Michigan goes...

the winner there could have momentum going into Florida, which will, as you said, offer momentum going into Feb. 5. So, in an indirect way, it matters.

[rinsd]

18. True but SC is right before FL so I think that should be a bigger factor.

And since no one is allowed to campaign in FL, it should be interesting.

It would be a referendum on the national campaign with all candidate exposure coming from that lens.

[SteppingRazor]

19. Interesting unless, like me, you live in Florida.

x(


But, yeah, I agree that SC will have a larger effect.

[rinsd]

22. Damn that sucks.

Sorry if I sounded flip about it.

[SteppingRazor]

25. No worries.

It's one of those things where you just gotta laugh. Politicians, eh?


I'll still be voting, of course, because like we've been saying, regardless of the delegate count, Florida matters in terms of momentum.

[Didereaux]

3. You have got to be kidding? After the Tuesday poll fiasco? ROFLMAO

[MadBadger]

5. Throw Florida and Michigan out, Nevada polls havent been updated in a month, and SC shows...

Obama up anywhere from 7-20 points.

[The Backlash Cometh]

6. I would expect Hillary to take Florida. Her kind of wheeling and dealing

between business and government, among the shaker and movers is very big around here.

[tritsofme]

8. I will consider all polls useless until the post-NH effect is reflected

in the samples.

[sunonmars]

11. None of them worth a bunk for another 3 days really

The dynamics changed last night. I expect a massive swing back to Hilary again. I'd be surprised if Obama's loss last night did not do a lot of damage. The deflation was just withering like a balloon being pricked and it went whizzing off round the room.

After all his national and other primary polls only rose sharply after Iowa. Last night just punctured that very hard.

I don't care what anyone says but the public watched Obama go from a commanding so called 10 to 12 point lead in NH to a 3% defeat, that was just stunning in nature by itself.

NH was a must win for him, the bar was raised and he failed to meet it, its a big problem. Hilary's was just to get close but by winning she litterally picked his momentum up and smashed him round the head with it, she might as well have used a baseball bat on him to be honest.

[Imagevision]

12. After New Hampshire? the polls don't mean diddly-squat...

[SteppingRazor]

14. Oh, I dunno. I don't think the fact that polls got it wrong in NH erases the fact that...

in previous elections, polls have been right or nearly right a large majority of the time, especially when looked at as a whole.

[mohc]

13. SC

From http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=066ea20c-d300-48cd-a585-cc9c356df4eb">SurveyUSA

Obama 50
Clinton 30
Edwards 16

[suston96]

21. This is a keeper - an interactive summary poll....

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/poll-tracker.htm?qState=IA