Obama takes narrow lead over Clinton in Nevada

[zulchzulu]

It looks like Hillary's vast lead last October has evaporated like a pot of water in the Black Rock Desert. This is from last October:

Clinton: 51 percent
Edwards: 14 percent
Obama: 11 percent
Richardson: 5 percent

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2007/10/arg-does-nevada-poll.html

Now Obama has made a sandstorm of her 40% lead and has gone ahead in the race:

RENO, Nevada (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama took a small lead over rival Hillary Clinton in Nevada ahead of Saturday's caucus, the party's next contest, according to a poll released on Monday.

A Reno Gazette-Journal poll of 500 likely caucus goers found 32 percent favoring Obama, the junior senator from Illinois, 30 percent for Clinton, a senator from New York, and 27 percent for former Senator John Edwards of North Carolina.

With the poll's margin of error of 4.5 percentage points, it appeared that any of those three leading candidates could have a chance at the top prize in the Saturday caucus.

Nevada holds the third Democratic contest after Iowa, which Obama won, and New Hampshire, where Clinton emerged victorious. Edwards came in second in Iowa and third in New Hampshire.

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN1441975520080114?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&rpc=22&sp=true

[Catherine Vincent]

1. This one will be another nail biter. nt

[Cha]

2. Rec'd!~ Front Page

News! GOBama! :D

[jasmine621]

3. Don't believe it. People have learned to lie to pollsters. nt.

[CoffeeCat]

8. Are we going to judge every poll now...

...because of what happened in NH?

OH please.

The candidates use polling, I can assure you.

Yes, sometimes people lie to pollsters. Sometimes they change
their mind right after they hang up the phone. There is a "margin
of error" in every poll.

Let's not become so cynical and extrapolate one situation onto
all polls that will be conducted until the end of time.

[Two Americas]

18. methods

There is at least one pollster working inside a campaign with a reputation for running bad polls with secret methods.

The whole thing is a mess, though, isn't it?

[Cha]

12. Don't believe it..

Good.

[cali]

15. lol. what are you suggesting? That Obama is actually far

behind Clinton? That's a fantasy. He's made up a huge differential

[CoffeeCat]

4. Wow, Edwards has a good showing...

I think that's terrific.

I'm an Obama supporter, but it is nice to see him doing well.

[bobbolink]

7. Thank you! It's nice to hear a pleasant word for John!

Yes, it looks close.

[Cha]

13. John Edwards is the Greatest!

I like him a lot and I hope he continues to do well.

[Lugnut]

22. I like him too.

:hi:

[Beaverhausen]

17. Thanks for noticing!

some people seem to forget there are other candidates still running!

:hi:

[NastyRiffraff]

19. Thanks from another Edwards supporter!

More like this, DUers. We're going to have to unite around a candidate, whoever that may be, eventually. Supporting your candidate doesn't mean you have to hate the others. (Save that for the Republicans)

[Two Americas]

20. thanks

Charitable and magnanimous. Much appreciated.

[cynthia]

21. It is terrific

Thanks for saying so

[bluestateguy]

5. Until the next poll that shows something else

All pollsters need to go to hell and stay there!

[still_one]

6. It appears that 10% are undecided. I wish Obama and Edwards could unite

then Hillary wouldn't even be in contention

[Muttocracy]

9. I wonder how that Huff Post petition is going - asking people NOT to answer polls n/t

[catnhatnh]

10. Yep-But look at who "do exist".... N/T

[rocktivity]

11. Get thee behind me, poll!

UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!!



x(
rocknation

[Barack_America]

14. A statistical tie.

But trending in the right direction!

[HCE SuiGeneris]

16. Here is a direct link to the polling results

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2008/01/new-poll-democratic-race-in-nevada-dead.html