Oklahoma Democratic Primary -- Clinton 20 Points Atop Edwards, Obama in 3rd (Survey USA)

[antiimperialist]

Conducted by Survey USA from 1/11 to 1/13/

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=0074e824-bb8c-4d00-a936-58e1de425ea2

[ursi]

1. does everyone in this country like reruns?

[Colobo]

2. All of that will change based on what happens in NV and SC.

[still_one]

3. OK, and in the red state of Oklahoma, how do the Democrats fare against

the republican candidates?

What I am really asking, when was the last time a Democrat won the Presidential election in Oklahoma?

[Zynx]

1964

[still_one]

16. Interesting. So after the civil rights act of the 60's which became a reality

because of the pressure exerted by Johnson, the Democrats subsequently lost the South, not the least due to the Nixon, atwater, and eventually rove Southern Strategy

The question is, will the South finally stop voting against its own interest?

NOTE: a lot of people were responsible for the progression of Civil Rights in the U.S.

[Zynx]

18. Oklahoma was a very Democratic leaning state and Johnson won it by less

than he won the country by.

[Wednesdays]

6. LBJ was the last Dem, in 1964

[Zynx]

8. Carter and Clinton both came close.

Well, Carter did in '76 anyway within 1 or 2. Clinton was within 8 in '96, but that's the closest we've come in a while.

[Ken Burch]

11. And it was going some for Okies to vote for a Texan!

(It had to be said).

[Zynx]

4. There is one monster gender gap in there.

It makes me a wee bit nervous.

[Renew Deal]

7. Why? It's worth like 12 delegates.

Or something like that.

[Zynx]

13. I believe 47.

Oklahoma may not have as many delegates as some more Democratic states, but it has about as many people as Connecticut.

[Renew Deal]

15. You're right

Tuesday 5 February 2008: 38 of 47 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders based on the results of the voting in today's Oklahoma Presidential Primary. A mandatory 15 percent threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be allocated National Convention delegates at either the congressional district or statewide level.

25 district delegates are to be allocated proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the State's 5 congressional districts.
CD 1: 5
CD 2: 5
CD 3: 5
CD 4: 5
CD 5: 5
In addition, 13 delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide.
8 at-large National Convention delegates
5 Pledged PLEOs

[antiimperialist]

17. More delegates than the much-hyped New Hampshire n/t

[Renew Deal]

5. Oklahoma is a strange state.

They voted for Clark last time around. Clark was the only candidate besides Kerry to win a state he never lived in.

[Bonobo]

9. Good. Me likes when Hillary puts on the mantle of invincibility!

It's going to become her political burial shroud if she is not careful.

[antiimperialist]

10. What Obama must do to win Oklahoma

In this red state, Obama needs to use the tactics his campaign is using in Nevada:

[cali]

23. try a little honesty for a change

his campaign had nothing to do with that. One voluteer did it. When three Clinton volunteer coordinators- one of them highly placed forwarded smear email about Obama being a stealth Muslim, I defended Clinton. And that was a much greater transgression. You? You join the people you howled about- you just have another candidate. Doesn't matter, you're just like those you had such a fit about.

[Wednesdays]

12. Hmm, I've seen plenty of Edwards bumper stickers

and a few Obama, but just one for Hillary. :shrug:

I'm in the center/north of OKC.

[antiimperialist]

14. If there's a method less reliable than polls, it's bumper sticker sighting

[lyonn]

20. Here's one female Okie that will vote Edwards!

Gotta get a bumper sticker.....where can I get one? I'm South OKC.

[LordJFT]

19. what a worthless state anyway, both coburn and inhofe ughh

[OzarkDem]

21. I dunno

Oklahoma is an open primary, the survey only questioned Democrats, so its not measuring the Independent and crossover voters.

Edwards has polled well in Oklahoma:

Tulsa World / KOTV Oklahoma Poll conducted by SoonerPoll.com
Mid-date: 12/15/2007

Clinton 34%
Edwards 25%
Obama 15%
Unsure 20%

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/polls/Oklahoma-December-2007.html

[jackson_dem]

22. Very bad news for Edwards

This was probably his best chance to win on Super Tuesday based on 2007 polling. This makes winning Nevada even more important. He will need a bounce and then to target a few states to earn a couple of wins. It looks like Missouri is a state they will target and they seem to believe they can turn things around in Oklahoma by campaigning there.