AL POLL: Obama 44, Hillary 37

[jefferson_dem]

Obama, McCain continue leads in Alabama polls
By Dana Beyerle
Montgomery Bureau Chief

MONTGOMERY | A tracking poll by the Capital Survey Research Center released Friday showed Barack Obama, the U.S. senator from Illinois, polling 44.4 percent of the vote, and New York U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton polling 37.4 percent inthe Democratic primary as of Thursday.

Obama moved outside the margin of error in the poll for the first time. The margin of error in the Democratic poll was 5.1 percentage points.

Just three days ago it was Obama 40 percent and Clinton 35 percent, with a margin of error of 5 percentage points.

On the Republican side, McCain, the U.S. senator from Arizona, polled 37.8 percent, and Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas, polled 26.2 percent.

McCain also moved outside the margin of error of 5 percentage points.

Three days ago McCain polled 28 percent to Huckabee’s 24 percent.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney polled 14.6 percent in Friday’s poll, under the 20 percent minimum a GOP candidate needs Tuesday to get any delegates.

Pollster Gerald Johnson said he believes McCain is getting votes from former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who has dropped his White House quest.

“Clinton is picking up the Edwards vote,” he said. “The black vote continues to increase for Obama and the white vote for Clinton. The closer you get to the election there are fewer undecided and that’s the way it’s breaking.”

Johnson said his poll will continue past Saturday when several candidates or their surrogates will be in Alabama and when candidate commercials begin to run.

http://www.tuscaloosanews.com/article/20080202/NEWS/122394749/1007

[Tweed]

1. One thing is for sure

This thing is going to go beyond Feb. 5. Neither Clinton or Obama will be delivering a knock out punch. States like Pennsylvania, Ohio and Texas are going to have a lot of say in the race after all.

[NJSecularist]

3. Yup

The more I read about the weird delegate allocation system that the Democrats use, the more I am convinced that as long as Obama doesn't get blown out in a few very important states, this race will go beyond Feb 5.

[Drunken Irishman]

4. IGNORE

[thunder rising]

2. Illinois and NY polls are not informative. Unless the candidate can't win their own state.

[Drunken Irishman]

5. Good thing this is an Alabama one then, eh?

[NJSecularist]

6. kick

:)

[Skip Intro]

7. “Clinton is picking up the Edwards vote,”

Great news!

There was another poll out today or yesterday showing Clinton leading by several points in AL. So I guess we'll see how that cookie crumbles.

But to hear Edwards voters are breaking toward Edwards. That's news. I hope it's happening all across the nation.

It wasn't the Clinton people calling on Edwards to drop out here.