New NATIONAL Pew Poll: Clinton 46 Obama 38

[ruggerson]

http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/392.pdf

[AX10]

1. Thank You Ruggerson. And a rec for you too!

:hi:
:kick:

[loveangelc]

2. wow. thats a huuuuge shift for Obama from their last poll.

[ruggerson]

4. the internals are pretty interesting

Out of all the pollsters, Pew has by far the most consistent track record

[ruggerson]

3. TPM has some interesting points about this poll

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/horsesmouth/2008/02/03-week/

New Poll Finds That Number Of Dems Who Like Idea Of Bill Back In White House Hasn't Budged

Hmmm. It'll be interesting indeed to see if these new poll numbers get any play from all the pundits who said that Bill recent escapades have created a liability for Hillary against Obama.

A new Pew poll was released today, and it's the first survey I've seen that deals with these questions since the racial dust-ups prompted pundits and commentators to assert that -- finally, definitely, really this time, no really -- Bill is dragging Hillary's candidacy down.

The poll asked respondents whether they "like or dislike the idea of Bill Clinton back in the White House." Guess what percentage of Dems said they "like" this idea?

Sixty eight percent -- exactly the same percentage that answered this way back in October of 2007. The number of Dems who said they "dislike" this idea is now at 12% -- a statistically insignificant two points higher than October 2007. The poll also finds that Bill's "favorability rating also has not slipped from where it stood in late December."

Even more interesting, despite the roar of commentary denouncing Bill for playing the race card, the poll also finds that Bill's favorability rating among blacks has remained stable at 79

[AX10]

5. The pundits have their knives out for the Clintons

No suprise that he still remains popular.
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/horsesmouth/2008/02/03-week/

[ruggerson]

6. Wanna bet the talking heads will never address this poll?

[Lucinda]

7. Thanks!

The PEW always has good data to dig though. K&R for the poll geeks.

[spooky3]

8. Notice large margins of error for the Dem. and Rep. subsamples

4.5 percentage points and 5.0 percentage points, respectively (p. 8), because these subsamples are small, particularly for a national sample. I also find it disturbing that the word "random" does not appear on this page, which describes the telephone survey methods.

Still, polls done by reputable organizations are interesting, IMHO, especially if there is a pattern that is consistent across many polling companies.