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This race will be decided in the same state that decided the 2004 election

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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:57 PM
Original message
This race will be decided in the same state that decided the 2004 election
Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 04:00 PM by NJSecularist
Texas will be an uphill battle for Obama to win. I don't expect him to win it. He could come close.

The state that will ultimately decide this race is Ohio.

Can Hillary hold off Obama's (potential) momentum until Ohio? The next 9 or so states heavily favor Obama. She needs to steal a few states along the way.

Then we get to the same battle ground state that decided the 2004 election, Ohio. In my opinion, if Hillary wins both Ohio and Texas, she will win the nomination.

But if Obama wins 6 or 7 of the next 9 states, and then wins Ohio, he will win the nomination, pending he keeps Texas close.

If both candidates win an equal amount of states in these next 9 contests and each of them win one of the Texas and Ohio contests, brokered convention, here we come. But if Obama wins the majority of the next 9 contests and then wins Ohio, Obama will win the nomination, IMO.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
1. I'd buy it.
Please, one of you run away with it.

Don't let the party leaders decide it for us.
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 04:00 PM
Response to Original message
2. I think Obama has a good chance at Ohio, despite the polls, but they don't vote until March.
we shall see.
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Jack Bone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
3. I heard one of the pundits last night suggest...
that Indiana (May 6th) may decide the Democrat nominee. Finally, my vote may mean something for a change!!

:patriot:
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thereismore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 04:07 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Democratic. nt
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. At this pace, your voice may count for something this election
:)
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Cant trust em Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 04:08 PM
Response to Original message
6. Some of the states are caucuses
which have tended to go for Obama up to this point.
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snooper2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 04:09 PM
Response to Original message
7. Dallas and Austin are going for Obama...
Houston may be up for grabs and the southwest of Texas ( large Hispanic vote )

Haven't seen any good polls for 7 months...
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. If Obama comes close in Texas
It will be a big coup for him. Given his hispanic history this election, he can't be that hopeful.
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Ohio Joe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
8. I will be voting for Obama here in Ohio
Now that Edwards is out I've decided to go with Obama.
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