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If it were ONLY about the Math, I'd concede that BO will be the nominee...

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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:52 PM
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If it were ONLY about the Math, I'd concede that BO will be the nominee...
...there's virtually no way Hilary can get more delegates between now and the convention, if we take the superdelegates out of the picture.

However, the superdelegates can vote for whom they want to...ideally they will listen to the voice of the people, but as we've seen so far, that ain't gonna happen.

BUT, if you take out all the lobbying by both camps to sway the SD's, then they will all end up making a decision on whom they think will be the best candidate. I'd heard two pundits use the term "glass jaw" referring to BO last night...fair or not, it's going to be something people will looking at since he handled his lies about Canada-gate very poorly (they didn't meet, then, oh, yeah, we did, but they misinterpreted it...that's the issue, not the lies coming from KOS and others right now to try and muddy the issue) so IF BO starts to fade, even a little (remember, calm down, I said IF) and Hilary starts doing well (the Gallup tracking polls can be used as evidence that she is) don't you think a lot of the SD's will want to go with the person who is picking up steam, as opposed to one who is limping into the convention.

Remember, this is hypothetical, and there are other scenarios where the SD's will support HRC over BO and vice-versa, making math appear very non-scientific indeed.
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 03:04 PM
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1. Kicking...
..haven't done that to one of my threads in a while, but I'm doing it because this is #2 out of my daily 3.
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