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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:09 AM
Original message
M-I-S-S-I-S-S-I-P-P-I What 's your prediction for tonight
Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 08:10 AM by NDambi
I say he beats her by 20%!


What say you?
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. I am with you on > 20% (n/t)
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caseycoon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:17 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. I just hope he does really well.
:toast:
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:11 AM
Response to Original message
2. At least 20%. nt
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zanne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:17 AM
Response to Reply #2
7. I agree with at least 20%. nt
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TexasLady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:13 AM
Response to Original message
3. Im going to be conservative(no not THAT kind)
and go with 19.

:D
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:15 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. ha ha...way to go
:rofl:
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:14 AM
Response to Original message
4. I'm hoping for more..but 20% would be a pretty good mud stomping..and..
its amazing after all the hype and cmampaigning--Super Tuesday II made no difference for the Hillster...she shant and can't catch up..

I like it!
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olkaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:16 AM
Response to Original message
6. I have no basis for this conclusion
But I think that this one will be closer than expected, with Obama winning, and the press spinning it in Hillary's favor.
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:21 AM
Response to Reply #6
12. Hey you're entitled to your opinion. None of us really know for sure I hope its at least 20 but
Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 08:22 AM by NDambi
I'll take it by 5% or less too... a win is a win is a win!

But there is no doubt in my mind that he WINS! Spin or no.

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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 11:52 AM
Response to Reply #6
48. Me too.....
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:17 AM
Response to Original message
8. All I will say is this
The polls in states with high percentages of black voters are persistently underpredicted Obama's election night performance. Alabama, South Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Georgia and Louisiana.
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:18 AM
Response to Original message
10. Between 15 and 20%. I also predict Clinton minimizes this, and does the press.
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K Gardner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:23 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. Oh, that's already started. I actually heard yesterday that Clinton is
expected to lose, but if she closes the gap it will be considered a victory for her.

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Kaylee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #13
39. Oh, but his closing the gap in Ohio and TX is momentum for her?
I hate the press.
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:57 AM
Response to Reply #13
44. Amazing her closing the gap on him is considered a victory, but him it is not..lol gotta love the BS
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Labors of Hercules Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #44
62. especially when he closes 20 points in TEXAS, and actually wins it.
according to the rules of the primary/caucus there. I hate the press too.
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:26 AM
Response to Reply #10
17. MSNBC just claimed Clinton wins if he doesn't win by over 15%-
:crazy: :wtf:
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skipos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:35 AM
Response to Reply #17
23. Has MSM ever claimed Obama "wins" a state if he loses by less than 15%?
Not that I have heard. They want this to be a horse race so bad and it isn't. What % does Clinton have to win the remaining states by now? 25%?
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 09:06 AM
Response to Reply #23
32. Texas is a case in point -- he closes from 17% to 4%, and it's a BIG Clinton victory.
And, oh, by the way, she lost out on the delegate count in Texas.

whatever.
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:36 AM
Response to Reply #17
25. ha ha typical spin
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TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:19 AM
Response to Original message
11. I'll go 15%
try to lower expectations, especially w/ the limbaugh factor, since much of this primary has been about expectations, not necessarily who wins and by how much.
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:23 AM
Response to Reply #11
14. I agree a win is a win..I'll take it by 50% or 5%!!!
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sfam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:30 AM
Response to Reply #11
19. I'll raise you + or - 2%....
I'm actually going to go with 17% but I really doubt it gets higher than that, and wouldn't be surprised if it was as low as 13%
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rucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:24 AM
Response to Original message
15. 60% Latte drinkers in Mississip. n/t
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TexasLady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:33 AM
Response to Reply #15
21. hey rucky
I love christopher walken. he's a sexy beast.
:P
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:34 AM
Response to Reply #21
22. He's a great actor too! Quirky, Good. Offbeat. Definitely terrific!
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hogwyld Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:58 PM
Response to Reply #21
60. And he can really bang those cowbells!
I got a fever...
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kennetha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:26 AM
Response to Original message
16. Clinton pulls off a stunning upset!
She wins the states delegates outright 18-15 and barely squeaks by with in the popular vote 50.5 - 49.5 as AA turn-out is unexpectedly low and Limbaugh inspired whites turn-out in unexpectedly large numbers with the devious intent of merely keeping the democratic race going and going.

Hillary claims that Obamamotion has come to a complete stop. Obama whines about foul play! The media is all Clinton all the time for the next few week until Pennsylvania.

Mark it down! You heard it here first!
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:29 AM
Response to Reply #16
18. Okay. Thank you and I appreciate the heads up!
:rofl:
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:41 AM
Response to Reply #16
27. I think we've seen her "stunningly upset" enough, thank you.
The Bipolar Express is getting a little scary now.

;)
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hogwyld Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #27
63. Bipolar Express?
You owe me a new keyboard!

:spray: :rofl: :wow:
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nxylas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #16
42. I'll go with that
You can't disappoint a pessimist, so I shall hope for the best, but expect the worst.
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Dhalgren Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:31 AM
Response to Original message
20. My prediction is that a corporatist candidate will win.
:eyes:
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:35 AM
Response to Reply #20
24. Okay. Thank you for your contribution to the thread. Much appreciated.
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Dhalgren Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 09:02 AM
Response to Reply #24
31. Hey, always willing to give a kick!
:hi:
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:40 AM
Response to Original message
26. A blowout!! Obama will get at least 63%.
This will be a blowout.

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Bake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #26
45. I hope you're wrong, and I suspect you are wrong.
And I plan to be around to remind you of it tonight.

I voted this morning, and the Dem turnout in my largely white upper-middle class precinct was surprising (I thought I was just about the only Dem in the subdivision). I glanced at that sign in sheet and saw a lot of female names on the Dem roster.

But of course that's only one precinct.

Bake
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #45
52. No problem.
But, of course I will be here to remind you if I'm right.
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Bake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-12-08 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #52
64. Congrats! You were right.
It was a big win for Obama.

Bake
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:41 AM
Response to Original message
28. I reckon we'll see a lot of Rezko threads tonight.
Roughly one per each percentage point Obama is ahead.

Rezko...it smells like victory! :thumbsup:
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TexasLady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:46 AM
Response to Reply #28
29. lol
:rofl:
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Crooked Moon Donating Member (278 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 08:53 AM
Response to Original message
30. my prediction
obama 53%
clinton 47%
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 09:41 AM
Response to Reply #30
33. That's possible but unlikely.
The polling numbers are indicating a far greater gap:




http://www.pollster.com/08-MS-Dem-Pres-Primary.php
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 09:44 AM
Response to Reply #33
34. I say he beats her by at least 10%
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thevoiceofreason Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:05 AM
Response to Original message
35. 53.6 - 45.2 for Obama
Rednecks out in force.

Delegate splits: Dist 1: 3/2 Clinton
Dist 2: 5/2 Obama
Dist 3: 3/2 Obama
Dist 4: 3/2 Clinton

At large: 6/5 Obama

Net net: 18-15 Obama
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XemaSab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:08 AM
Response to Original message
36. 56-42
:thumbsup:
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undeterred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:09 AM
Response to Original message
37. O-B-A-M-A W-I-N-S-!
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SoonerPride Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:10 AM
Response to Original message
38. Clinton will say it's another state that doesn't count
Take that to the bank
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thevoiceofreason Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:21 AM
Response to Reply #38
40. Or claim her 7 delegate loss was really a victory
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:23 AM
Response to Original message
41. Obama wins with 60-65 percent of the vote
If he wins only 25% of the white vote, its a 60-40 split. If he wins 35% of the white vote, its a 65-35 split.
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Alter Ego Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 10:33 AM
Response to Original message
43. My prediction?
I can't spell it.
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Tesha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 11:49 AM
Response to Original message
46. My prediction:
Obama wins 90% of the A-A vote.

He wins 50% of the remaining Democratic vote.

He wins 75% of the Democratic-leaning Independents.

Hillary wins 95% of the Republican crossover vote.

Now, does that last portion overwhelm the rest?
This year, with McCain already confirmed, it might!

Tesha
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 11:51 AM
Response to Original message
47. Obama by 9208%
Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 11:52 AM by high density
Passes 2025 and takes Clinton into negative pledged delegate territory at the same time.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 11:52 AM
Response to Original message
49. A righteous ass-kicking in a state Clinton will then say doesn't matter.
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InAbLuEsTaTe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
50. Obama wins, but Hillary claims victory.
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 11:57 AM
Response to Original message
51. Mississippi doesn't count by 22 pts.
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skipos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:03 PM
Response to Original message
53. I'll be surprised if he does it by 20%. I think it will be closer to 15%
and MSM will call it a tremendous victory for her.
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bicentennial_baby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:05 PM
Response to Original message
54. I predict that she won't congratulate him
:P
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Az_lefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:16 PM
Response to Original message
55. Obama by 20% and Clinton disses the state again.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
56. Turnout is lighter than usual. A college student just said a lot of students are on Spring Break
Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 03:28 PM by jenmito
now. I'm afraid the low turnout will favor Hillary. I hope Obama wins in a landslide!
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tandem5 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:50 PM
Response to Original message
57. I say 18%, but with the obscene gerrymandering he'll net only one delegate...
perhaps this will serve as an eye-opener to those who have argued in favor of the many warped delegate allocation systems, such as the one in Texas where Clinton won the popular vote by more than 100k, but will probably lose in the delegate count.
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Zachstar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:52 PM
Response to Original message
58. I say around 20 percent as well after viewing some aspects of today's voting.
Let us hope for a BIG Obama win!
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walldude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:54 PM
Response to Original message
59. Prediction for tonight?
Lots of complaining on DU...
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-11-08 03:58 PM
Response to Original message
61. Obama 62-37
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