Good News for Bush, but Situation Remains Fluid/James Zogby, Arab News

[Gloria]

Alan Lichtman rises from the crypt, yet again.............


http://www.arabnews.com/?page=7§ion=0&article=46483&d=9&m=6&y=2004

Good News for Bush, but Situation Remains Fluid
Dr. James J. Zogby, Arab News

WASHINGTON, 9June 2004 — After enduring a number of setbacks during a difficult spring, President Bush appears to be in the midst of a rebound. The economic news is good, the news from Iraq shows some improvement, and the president’s schedule has provided him several opportunities to focus public attention on his campaign theme of “providing strong leadership for America”.

As a result, the president’s poll numbers have risen slightly and one prominent pundit, who has developed a scientific model that has correctly predicted the outcome of every election since1984 , now says that Bush appears to be a likely winner in November.

(SNIP)

Late last week I hosted American University professor Allan Lichtman on my Abu Dhabi TV “Viewpoint” program. Lichtman is the analyst who has developed a scientific model for predicting the outcome of presidential elections.

(SNIP)

According to Lichtman’s assessment, Bush currently can claim the eight keys necessary to win. (Bush has “Keys”1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ,8 , 11 and13 .) The four “Keys” Bush loses are6 ,7 , 10 and12 . “Key” nine is still unclear.

MORE>>>>>>>>>>>>

[Still_Loves_John]

1. My biggest fear

is that they can stabalize Iraq juuuust until November. It's only a couple of months, and even cheap puppet governments can keep the peace that long. Long term Iraq is definatly screwed, but they only need to fool people until the day after election day.

At the same time, though, I have this feeling that I'm underestimating the American people, and that they are gonna do the right thing in the end. I'm all conflicted.

[incapsulated]

4. Me too

If they can survive the recent scandals about prisoner abuse and the like, and keep Bush from being held directly responsible simply through perception and scapegoats and keep a lid on till November...

*sigh*

Welcome to DU, by the way! :hi:

[Gloria]

2. Well, look at what's going on ....check out this thread

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x611440

I have two articles in the new World Media Watch I just posted....on the Kurds and the little bomblet waiting there with them..........

[DaveSZ]

3. If the election is on the economy

Bush wins.

Iraq, the CIA coup, and the BUshco scandals could muddle things however.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

5. .