Rasmussen: Bush 47 Kerry 44

[tritsofme]

Saturday June 12, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 47% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 44%.

This is the second straight day the Tracking Poll has shown Bush with a 3-point advantage. Neither candidate has been ahead by 3-or-more points on four consecutive days. Unless the "lead" is held for more than three days, it is probably statistical noise or a bounce from news coverage of the past week.

The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

Regardless of who voters want to win, 53% now believe that President Bush will be re-elected. Thirty-five percent (35%) believe Senator Kerry will triumph.

When it comes to the fundamental issues of Election 2004, War and the economy, voters gave President Bush a good week on both topics. Fifty-four percent (54%) now prefer Bush over Kerry on national defense issue and 49% prefer Bush to manage the economy. Both figures are the best the President has received in months.

Approval is at 53%
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

Like I said yesterday, it is still unsure whether there has been a change in the race, this is statistical noise, or whether it is just a Reagan bump.

No candidate has held a lead of more than 3 points for over four days since March, so we will have to see as the week moves on if things go back to their deadlocked state where they have been for the past month or so. Two days is not enough start talking about trends.

[Ishoutandscream]

1. I'm going with the Reagan bump

Kerry hasn't even gotten started with a real campaign. Things will change for the better.

[LittleApple81]

2. Keep fingers crossed. I don't think that this bump is going to

last. Hopefully, ALL THE SCANDALS WAITING IN THE WINGS OF THE POLITICAL theater will come tumbling out... and somebody will do something about them.

[blackcat77]

3. Movement within the margin of error is meaningless. nt