Is there a consensus on Kerry's VP short list?

[dolstein]

If press stories and leaks are to be believed, it appears that the following people are on Kerry's short list:

John Edwards
Wesley Clark
Richard Gephardt
Tom Vilsack
Bill Richardson
Bob Graham
Bill Nelson

I've also seen stories suggesting that Evan Bayh, Mark Warner, General Zinni and even Howard Dean are under consideration, but I would have to put them in the long shot category.

Am I missing anyone?

[JI7]

1. of those confirmed or very "highly rumored" not missing anyone

i think that's the entire list of those we know for sure or are very much rumored.

[SaveElmer]

2. I have a gut feeling that...

Max Cleland and Janet Napolitano(sp?) will start getting press as possible picks.!

[delhurgo]

3. You forgot McCain and Hillary, also Ed Rendell.

McCain is out I know, but its in the news. Hillary is a long shot.

Odds, imo:

1:1 John Edwards - very likable, centrist. Has that lawyer thing though. But polls show he helps the most, at this point.

2:1 Richard Gephardt - boring, but safe. Good for all important industrial states, especially Missouri. Kerry and he get along well.

5:1 Tom Vilsack - good centrist...would help in midwest...don't know alot about him.

5:1 Bill Richardson - pro-biz tax-cutter... would bring in hispanic vote. Says he doesn't want it though.

5:1 Wesley Clark - untested, and it showed during primaries. But very smart and would add more cred on defense.

7:1 Evan Bayh - good on issues ...would help in midwest. Has 'all american' look and values.

15:1 Ed Rendell - Only in his first term, but would help keep Pa, and help in Ohio.

15:1 Bob Graham - kinda quirky, but could possibly help deliver Florida.

20:1 Bill Nelson - would have to give up his senate seat. But an Astronaut and war hero on same ticket would be very appealing.

25:1 Mark Warner - Another first term Gov., but is an excellent pol. I don't think he brings any state though.

50:1 Howard Dean - wouldn't help geographically ...already defined as too liberal.

100:1 Hillary - If he was way behind, maybe you throw the long ball. But not as things are now.

1,000,000:1 John McCain - He won't do it.

[TexasSissy]

4. Here's the list in a political odds site

www.campaignline.com

TOP TIER CHOICES:
Sen. John Edwards (NC), 4 to 1 (20% chance)
Gov. Bill Richardson (NM), 8 to 1 (11.1% chance)
Sen. Evan Bayh (IN), 8 to 1 (11.1% chance)
Sen. Bill Nelson (FL), 9 to 1 (10% chance)
Gov. Ed Rendell (PA), 10 to 1 (9.1% chance)
Sen. Bob Graham (FL), 10 to 1 (9.1% chance)
Gov. Tom Vilsack (IA), 10 to 1 (9.1% chance)
U.S. Rep. Dick Gephardt (MO), 12 to 1 (7.7% chance)
Gen. Wesley Clark, 15 to 1 (6.3% chance)

LONGSHOT POSSIBILITIES (less than 5% chance):
Sen. Mary Landrieu (LA), 30 to 1 (3.2% chance)
Sen. Dianne Feinstein (CA), 50 to 1 (2% chance)
Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (KS), 50 to 1 (2% chance)
Sen. Hillary Clinton (NY), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Ex-Sen. Max Cleland (GA), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Ex-Sen. Sam Nunn (GA), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Sen. Joe Lieberman (CT), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Sen. Richard Durbin (IL), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Ex-Tr. Sec. Robert Rubin, 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Sen. Joe Biden (DE), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (AR), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Sen. John Breaux (LA), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Gov. Mark Warner (VA), 100 to 1 (1% chance)
Sen. Debbie Stabenow (MI), 200 to 1 (less than 1% chance)
AG Elliott Spitzer (NY), 200 to 1 (less than 1% chance)
Sen. John McCain (AZ), 500 to 1 (less than 1% chance)
Gov. Howard Dean (VT), 500 to 1 (less than 1% chance)
Al Gore (TN), 500 to 1 (less than 1% chance)
Someone else, 30 to 1 (3.3% chance)

[Merlin]

6. This is a BS site. Odds but no betting. I'll take 15 to 1 on Clark any day

It's funny to watch all these machinations; everybody speculating; all the names flying around.

It's simply Clark. It always was Clark. Clark is the guy. There's no possible way an astute politician could choose anybody else.

It will be Wes Clark. Bank on it.

[Cheswick2.0]

5. since Zogby was asked to poll on Gephardt and Dean

I would say that was the short list.

:hi: