USA Today/Gallup Poll Shows Kerry Leading Among National Adults 51%-46%

[Zynx]

Yet another strange result here among the national adults number. http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/usatodaypolls.htm

That's up three points from the previous poll. They just have a weird definition of "likely voters".

[SaveElmer]

1. The problem may be with reliance on past voting

As part of the calculation of what constitutes a likely voter. I personally think we are going to get an unusually high number of first time voters in this election.

[displacedtexan]

5. You're right! CNN has admitted using Poll Weighting!

Check this out:

(Scroll Down) http://ascrivenerslament.blogspot.com/

[Zynx]

6. So that's why they get such strange numbers.

[saracat]

2. Wow! This is weird.

When you do the breakdown, giving Bush the lead makes NO sense. They rate Bush lower in almost every catogory.They even trust him less. I still don't respect our electorate. Dumb as a box of rocks!If they reelect the chimp, I'm gone.

[Raya]

3. National Adults are Usually more Liberal that "Likely Voter." Who Votes

does, however, matter in an election!!!!!!

[Brotherjohn]

4. WHOOAAA! You know, that's the first thing I thought. I went to look, but

... I must have missed it!

I mean, really, just look at the difference and tell me there's not something fishy in Denmark:

Likely Voters 47 to 50 (Kerry/Edwards to Bush/Cheney)
Registered Voters 50 to 47
National Adults 51 to 46

Now, you can argue all you want with them as to how they determine who is a "likely" voter. Even the voters themselves aren't sure.

The only thing that IS sure is that the "likely voters" category is the only one determined subjectively.

I don't know, maybe it's just me. But aren't polls supposed to be objective?

[flpoljunkie]

7. I heard somewhere that they continued to poll, as initial results so out

of sync with the other polls.

[Zynx]

8. I think it was in USA Today that they said that.

[MallRat]

9. An 8-point swing from "nat'l adults" to "likely voters?"

:wtf:

[Zynx]

10. Gallup's methodology is messed up...badly.

[flpoljunkie]

11. Who do you trust more to handle responsibilities of commander-in-chief?

16. Who do you trust more to handle the responsibilities of commander-in-chief of the military: John Kerry, or George W. Bush? Kerry wins this one handily--51% to 46%!

Yet, for some inexplicable reason Bill Schnedier, CNN senior political analyst and fellow at AEI, prefers instead to focus on who is best on terrorism question? Guess who wins that one? Bush, of course, 54% to 42%--though Schneider fails to mention that Bush has lost 2 points of terrorism while Kerry has gained 4 points since their last survey.

[whistle]

12. Oh, geeze, poll weighting like the jobs weighting numbers on...

...employment growth since Feb of the year, out of the 1.3 million new jobs Bush claims that his tax cuts have created, 80% are made-up numbers!!!:wtf:

Here is an interesting poll bay bestandworst.com that uses respondent comments to gauge who voters think will win on Nov 2. Sorry, you'll have to calculate your own percentages, but I think the majority of respondents don't think Bush will win:

PREDICTION : POLITICS :
WILL BUSH WIN THE NEXT ELECTION?
ballot by LCD

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
No 510

Yes 478

No, but he never won the 1st ether 294

Only if the majority of Americans are braindead or certified insane 121

Not if he's impeached first 51

Probably, because its rigged anyway 44

Yes but only because all americans are fukin idiot 40

Yes, It's already been decided 36

Sadly, yes. 29

hopefully no 25

maybe 20

I hope not. 16

No, he's evil 15

IF HE SUCKS MY DICK I WILL VOTE FOR HIM 11

Huge landslide 11

HELL NO! He blew it on his first term. 11

ONLY IF HE DOESNT SUCK MY DICK 10

Yes, He is the Anti-Christ 10

I Like Bush, Fuck you Unapreciative asswhipes. 10

Yes, he's better than a democrat 8

no hes gay 7

Mrs. Clinton will win 7

if americans have a moral standard and brain yes 7

only if the dumbass americans vote 4 him.... 7

666 always wins 7

Yes, and I hope all whining lefties die afterwards 7

I'll move to Canada if he does! 7

there won't be any elections 6

If voting mattered, it'd be illegal. 6

bush is a fucking ni**er 6

I HATE REPUBLICANS 6

The world will not survive another term of Bush 6

If he chokes on another pretzel :D 5

bush ate my pussy in high skool 5

fuck no 5

Only if Americans like fascism 5

dose it matter, jews rule america 5

If the Free World stands a chance to survive-Yes 5

Everything Is Fixed, And You Can't Change It.. Oy 5

not if hes not living(this is not a treat from me) 4

i am bush, u r all gona be blown up 4

sudam will win 4

HE HAS SUCKS OFF BILL CLINTON'S DICK THEN YES!!! 4

DOES A BABY SHIT 4

someone will probably shoot him 4

America cross fingers and vote NO BUSH 4

A well worn cinderblock could do a better job. 4

Michael Jackson will win! 4

If if Oprah doesn't run 4

The shadow government says yes 4

not if Hillary Clinton runs for president 4

Not if we lock up Wal-Mart trapping his supporters 4

Only if he promises to "terminate" ; Al Gore 3

Dean/Clark could be the winning ticket! 3

I hpe not. 3

No fucking chance. 3

if he does, i'm leaving the country 3

Yes, now that Saddam has been captured 3

Who? 3

SATAN! oh..same thing 3

Do Europeans suck-YES! 3

Only if he kisses my white ass and Not even THEN 3

Not if your crosshairs are true 3

Fuk no! I'll kill myself if he wins! 3

he can kiss my ass then i'll vote for him! 2

I damand a RE-COUNT 2

Chicago SUCKS! BIGTIME! 2

Will hell freeze over? 2

After hell frezzes over 2

is the Pope Catholic? 2

HOPE NOT and hope helen clark becomes jobless 2

no because god returned to earth and said NO bush 2

if all the fat americans can move their asses. 2

no i will become the president 2

i don't give a d@mn 'cause i can't vote yet 2

No Ariel Sharon will be president .. 2

evidentally, no doubt, quite likely, a shoo-in? 2

Yes Americans Are Idiots 2

Look at the nut case he's running against! 2

If i can lick his bush 1

bush is a fucking ni* 1

If the Dow hit 10000 1

if he declare waron states if we don't 1

Bare your bush 1

I DO NOT CARE DUH 1

He is the moral cannidate. 1

Who cares who wins? I don't 1

nyc sucks 1

hope not but who will take his place 1

Pat Robertson said God said Bush wins 1

I'll vote for him so he'll win. Ah, I'm too young. 1

The leader of the Kukamonga Kracker Killers will. 1

Depends ON WHAT ELECTION.... LOL! 1

<link> http://www.bestandworst.com/pages/voteresult/voteresult-1209.html

[whistle]

13. Okay, I've calculated the totals and world opinion says....

...to the question: "WILL BUSH WIN THE NEXT ELECTION?

No.........1116 55.9%
Yes........ 764 38.3%
Undecided 116 5.8%
Total......1996 100.0%

Edit: Mislabelled now correct, Whistle