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Electoral Vote has Kerry 328 to Bush 210

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pathansen Donating Member (696 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 12:36 PM
Original message
Electoral Vote has Kerry 328 to Bush 210
According to http://www.electoral-vote.com/:
Kerry's electorial votes are back up. Prior to convention it was
Kerry 289 to Bush 232.
Now it's Kerry 328 to Bush 210 electorial votes!
This is a great relief but I don't know if this takes Nader into account.
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 12:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. It does in several states
Move your mouse pointer over a state and it will give the details of the latest poll for that state.

I do not like at all the Oregon has moved to "barely Kerry" on that map.
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richmwill Donating Member (972 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 12:59 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. It could easily change
Last week New Jersey was "Barely Kerry"- he was only up 1% in that state. Now, as you can see on that map, he's up by 10%.
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texastoast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
2. And there is a boatload of us working
to deliver Texas. No promises, but it ain't over yet!
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 01:01 PM
Response to Original message
4. I'd take that to the bank before going with the lying Gallup sellouts.
:thumbsup:
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edbermac Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
5. Breakdown of voters?
Just looked at a Gallup poll that asked around 900 people(!!) how they would vote...which makes you think that 55% of the entire US will be voting for Bush or whoever; these polls are all bullshit.

I've asked before in this forum if anyone has any recent breakdowns of the total number of registered Democratic/Republican/Independent voters by state as a true indicator of how this election will go.

Anyone out there know? Webmaster?

:shrug:
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sushi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
6. 328 Electoral Votes
Edited on Tue Aug-03-04 01:15 PM by sushi
is what an Australian psephologist, Malcolm Mackerras, is predicting for Kerry in November. I hope he's right!

Just for fun, go to

<http://www.mumble.com.au/mackerras_US.htm>

It says 327, but in the newspaper it says 328. Includes pendulum.
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lapfog_1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 01:10 PM
Response to Original message
7. Yeah, but...

There are 10 states that are "barely Kerry" (97 electoral votes)
versus only 2 states that are barely Bush (11 votes).

Also, Ohio has gone from barely bush to weak bush (Bush has a 5
point lead).

So this isn't all good news... OTOH, Florida has gone from
barely Bush to Barely Kerry! and Tenn is no longer a tie,
it's now barely Kerry. The fun part is do the map without
Nader, throwing all Nader votes to Kerry.
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LTR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
8. Here's a RW electoral vote site with similar results
http://www.electionprojection.com/

Current Projected Tally:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Electoral Votes: Bush 211, Kerry 327
Popular Vote: Bush 47.2%, Kerry 51.0%
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