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quaoar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 06:48 PM
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How to judge poll numbers
This is a good calculator. You just plug in the figures for Bush and Kerry and the size of the sample:

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/moe2.shtml
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NMDemDist2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 06:56 PM
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1. i sent that to the votemaster
at www.electoral-vote.com
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Bernardo de La Paz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-04 07:16 PM
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2. Good but Not Over till Suprises and November are Past
Good link. Inject some reality into poll interpretation. Like it or not, mathematics rules the universe.

The only poll that counts is November.

Until then, any perceived lead could change with an August, September, or October Surprise.
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