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BOUNCE THIS: BUSH CAN'T GET OVER THE 45% HUMP

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-06-04 01:40 AM
Original message
BOUNCE THIS: BUSH CAN'T GET OVER THE 45% HUMP
Edited on Fri Aug-06-04 01:41 AM by TruthIsAll
He's been there since Feb and is at his low of 44% right now,
based on the average of these nine polls:					
IBD, ABC, NWK, ARG, CBS, PEW, LAT, ZOGBY, TIME	

Kerry has broken through his 48% barrier to 49.6%.

That means there are 6% other/undecided. Give Kerry at least
4%.
That should put him right near 54% on Nov 2.

And that's being conservative, cause Bush may never get to 45%
the way he's going. He's sinking and McCain is loving every
minute of it.

Contrary to those who think he will get a convention bounce or
that he will LIHOP or raise the terra alert or the economy
will turn around or that the Plame indictments won't come down
or that his AWOL records will never go anywhere or that things
will improve in Iraq or that F9/11 has shot it's load or that
the  military will vote for Bush or that Diebold will steal it
for him anyway..

No, I don't think so.

Bush is truly...

T
O
A
S
T
						
	Avg Poll Trend		Projection			
2004	Kerry	Bush 	Diff	Kerry	Bush 	Diff
Jan 	44.0	49.4	-5.4	46.4	53.6	-7.1
Feb	48.0	45.4	2.6	52.6	47.4	5.2
Mar	48.6	44.0	4.6	53.8	46.2	7.5
Apr	47.4	44.9	2.5	52.8	47.2	5.6
May	47.8	44.0	3.8	53.5	46.5	7.1
June	47.1	44.7	2.4	52.8	47.2	5.7
July	48.1	45.0	3.1	52.9	47.1	5.9
Aug	49.6	44.0	5.6	54.1	45.9	8.2
						
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alittlelark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-06-04 01:42 AM
Response to Original message
1. Bye Bye Bushie!!!!
It's been fun - NOT!
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-06-04 01:44 AM
Response to Original message
2. My theory..
Bush will get a 4% convention bounce - at best. We all remember how well his State of the Union address went-over with the public this year.. hehe..
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Memekiller Donating Member (755 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-06-04 03:00 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. What's wrong with you Democrats?
You're supposed to raise expectations by projecting a 10 to 15 point bounce, the way the Repubs did before the dem convention.

Are Democrats absolutely INCAPABLE of distortion? It's second nature to those guys! Wake up!
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