Forecast time: What % of the popular vote will Bush end up with?

[TruthIsAll]

Poll question: Forecast time: What % of the popular vote will Bush end up with?

He's been there since Feb and is at his low of 44% right now,
based on the average of these nine polls:					
IBD, ABC, NWK, ARG, CBS, PEW, LAT, ZOGBY, TIME	

Kerry has broken through his 48% barrier to 49.6%.

That means there are 6% other/undecided. Give Kerry at least
4%.
That should put him right near 54% on Nov 2.

And that's being conservative, cause Bush may never get to
45% the way he's going. He's sinking and McCain is loving
every minute of it.

Contrary to those who think he will get a convention bounce
or that he will LIHOP or raise the terra alert or the economy
will turn around or that the Plame indictments won't come
down or that his AWOL records will never go anywhere or that
things will improve in Iraq or that F9/11 has shot it's load
or that the  military will vote for Bush or that Diebold will
steal it for him anyway..

No, I don't think so.

Bush is truly...

T
O
A
S
T
						
	Avg Poll Trend		Projection			
2004	Kerry	Bush 	Diff	Kerry	Bush 	Diff
Jan 	44.0	49.4	-5.4	46.4	53.6	-7.1
Feb	48.0	45.4	2.6	52.6	47.4	5.2
Mar	48.6	44.0	4.6	53.8	46.2	7.5
Apr	47.4	44.9	2.5	52.8	47.2	5.6
May	47.8	44.0	3.8	53.5	46.5	7.1
June	47.1	44.7	2.4	52.8	47.2	5.7
July	48.1	45.0	3.1	52.9	47.1	5.9
Aug	49.6	44.0	5.6	54.1	45.9	8.2
				

[DemBones DemBones]

1. I'd say about 45%. nt

[LibDemAlways]

2. If the media was doing its job

the chimp would probably get only the hard-core freeper fringe vote. Since the media isn't doing its job, and is continuing to prop up the moron, he'll probably get 45%.

[Anarcho-Socialist]

3. My gut-feeling tells me 42-44 n/t

[Screaming Lord Byron]

4. 50 - 46 in our favour

[Zynx]

5. 45-46%, maybe 47 on the high end.

[LiberalBushFan]

6. real votes?

My guess is 46-48, then add in the Diebold counties and it's 48-50.