Bush Toast in Freefall! Job Approval; National Polls; State polls

[TruthIsAll]

Tanking!

BUSH JOB APPROVAL
Bush Tanking! Fox	44%											
The data source is PollingReport.com    												
												
2004	Avg	Nwk	Fox	CNN	Pew	Harris	CBS	ABC	Time	NBC	AP	Zogby
Jan.	54.50	50	58	60	56	na	50	58	54	54	56	49
Feb.	49.67	48	48	51	48	51	50	50	54	na	47	na
Mar.	48.75	48	48	49	46	na	51	50	na	50	48	na
Apr.	48.80	49	50	52	48	48	46	51	49	na	48	47
May	45.20	42	48	47	44	na	41	47	46	47	48	42
June	47.00	na	48	49	48	50	42	47	na	45	48	46
July	48.00	48	47	47	46	na	45	50	50	48	50	49
Aug	45.86	45	44	48	na	na	44	47	na	na	49	44
												
												
												
...........................................................		
NATIONAL (9-Poll) POPULAR VOTE TREND
Bush Tanking! Kerry 49.3, Bush 43.7
																
Based on latest national polls from:												
IBD, ABC, NWK, ARG, CBS, PEW, LAT, ZOGBY, TIME												
Data source: PollingReport.com    							
									
						
Kerry projection is Avg + 70% of undecided/other voters.						
						
	Avg Poll Trend		Projection			
2004	Kerry	Bush 	Diff	Kerry	Bush 	Diff
Jan 	44.0	49.4	-5.4	46.4	53.6	-7.1
Feb	48.0	45.4	2.6	52.6	47.4	5.2
Mar	48.6	44.0	4.6	53.8	46.2	7.5
Apr	47.4	44.9	2.5	52.8	47.2	5.6
May	47.8	44.0	3.8	53.5	46.5	7.1
June	47.1	44.7	2.4	52.8	47.2	5.7
July	48.1	45.0	3.1	52.9	47.1	5.9
Aug	49.3	43.7	5.6	54.2	45.8	8.4
						



NATIONAL (15-poll) POPULAR VOTE FORECAST/WIN PROBABILITIES
Bush Tanking! Kerry 48.4, Bush 44.4 (including CNN/NBC
outliars)		
				
48.40%	 Average (mean) of most recent 15 national polls 			
5.04%	+ Kerry 70% allocation of undecided/other			
53.44%	 = Projected Kerry vote			
				
91.38% Kerry current win probability
98.54% Kerry forecast win probability 			
				
______				Kerry%
______	Date	Kerry	Bush	vs.Bush
				
TIME	807	48	43	52.7
FOX	804	46	42	52.3
CNN/GAL	801	48	48	50.0
LAT	721	48	46	51.1
PEW	718	46	44	51.1
				
IBD	806	49	43	53.3
CBS	730	49	43	53.3
DEMC	805	52	45	53.6
ABC/WP	802	52	45	53.6
NWK	730	52	44	54.2
				
ZOGBY	729	48	43	52.7
AP	806	48	45	51.6
NBC/WSJ	721	45	47	48.9
ARG	801	49	45	52.1
QPAC	722	46	43	51.7
				
Mean	______	48.40	44.40	52.16
Prob	______	______	______	91.38

[iconoclastic cat]

1. Burn, Bushie, Burn!