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Edited on Wed Aug-11-04 09:11 PM by xyboymil
ELSE!
As a newer poster to this forum, I have been rather amazed at the panic and concern fellow Kerry supporters have had over a statement John Kerry made about the war in Iraq on Tuesday. The same statement that made some, but not alot of news yesterday, is today in the past and no longer a blurp on any national news front.
The statement Kerry made which Bush manipulated was exactly the kind of reaction Bush was hoping for: a over reaction by Kerry supporters and the "anti-war" voters who felt Kerry abadoned them. Many DU'ers appropriately posted the entire answer Kerry gave and after reading it, the spin Bush was placing on Kerry became exceedingly obvious.
Now today, I am reading posts and comments about "Why isnt Kerry fighting back?!" and "why doesnt Kerry come out an assault Bush on HIS flip-flops?" and "why won't Kerry clarify what he meant yesterday and call Bush out for his handling of the war?!" and "it's time for Kerry to go on the assault. Why won't he?"
The answer to all of the above questions is this: He doesn't need to.
John Kerry is winning this election my fellow Du'ers. Let me say that again. John Kerry is winning.. I dont take this stance from just the latest polls, which certainly help but they are far from telling the whole story.
I get this from observing not only the Kerry campaign, but also the Bush campaign. Kerry went into the Democratic Convention and played it like a song. He knew exactly what "bounce" he needed. It wasn't the 10-15 point bounce Republicans touted Kerry would receive. THAT was a ploy by the Republican Party to trick the American public into believing if Kerry didn't get that bounce, Kerry would look he failed to produce and the convention was a failure. This election is more polarized and has fewer undecided voters in it then in any previous election year in history. I am not that stupid and as informed voters, neither should you be to believe what the Republicans were predicting.
Nonetheless Kerry's bounce was huge. It was the huge increase Kerry received "to handle the responsibilites as commander in chief in a time of war" up to 48%, surpassing Bush at 47%, where pre-convention numbers was at a meager 39%.
Kerry's 2nd major increase was his own supporters confidence in him as their leader. Pre-convention support among democratic voters for Kerry was at about 62%. After the convention, it rocketed to 79% in one poll and 83% in another. The best Al Gore did was 67% in 2000.
That was the beginning of the increasing anxiety that has taken grip on the Bush campaign. Bush did't expect Kerry to unite democratics as he did and he sure hell wasn't thinking Kerry would get such a huge bounce in one area Bush was comfortably ahead in: The war on Terror.
So what does Bush do? He uses the one thing he has used over and over and over again in the last 4 years: fear. He issues a "terror alert" using 4-5 year old intelligence to get the American people off Kerry's success at the convention, Kerry's rising opinion as a leader and Bush's falling approval ratings (down to 42% in an Zogby poll). Bush changed subjects from "Kerry's solidifying this race as the frunt runner" to "be scared, be very scared."
More polling data is released and to Bush's dismay, Kerry is gaining ground on him as who would be a more decisive leader, who would unite other nations to support the US, and the worst of the worst: Kerry is pulling further away from Bush for the question of who would be better for the US economy.
So Bush gambles and during the week the US job report is due out, he stumps all around the country spewing lie after lie about how great the economy is, how many jobs have been created, and how "rosey" everything looks for the future. That Friday, BOOM! The Job Report shows a pathetic 32,000 jobs created far less then the 240,000 jobs expected. Bush is realing from front page headlines across every major newspaper statting the economy is slowing down, and to make matters worse, they revise the previous months job creation numbers showing even fewer jobs created in May and June.
Kerry smartly critizes the Bush Adminstartion on their net loss 1.1 million jobs since Bush was elected and the tax cuts for the rich have done nothing to stimulate job growth. Bush, who thought the economy was something he could gloat over, is suddenly reeling from bad economic news.
Now this week you are seeing a Bush Campaign on the offensive not because their ahead and looking to nail John Kerry but rather because they are scared, losing and anxious to find something, ANYTHING to stop the Kerry bandwagon.
Guess what? It's not working. Kerry knows he is ahead, he is winning, and smartly, he playing his cards conservatively and allowing Bush to slowly but surely to come undone.
There is no desire from Kerry to mount a sudden offensive attack against Bush because there is no need to. There is no need to do further clarify his statements from Tuesday because it's had no negative impact on him. There is no need to "blast Bush" on his failures on the war because that will come at the time of the debates where the american people will be tuned in.
Bush is losing my fellow Du'ers. The further he gets behind, the more the terror alerts will come. The more Bush is exposed for his lies and failures as President, the nastier the attacks on Kerry will become.
Sit back, relax and enjoy this. It is the slow but steady unraveling of a President who has less then 3 months before President-elect John Kerry is elected. Watch this increasing anxiety that is the Bush campaign turn to a full blown panic attack right before your eyes. :nuke:
November 2nd will be a sweet day indeed! :toast:
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