New Improved Polls!

[Nicholas_J]

National Polls:
Pew: Kerry 47, Bush 45, Nader 2

Rasmussen (8/12): Bush 45, Kerry 48

State Polls:
OH: Kerry 48, Bush 45, Nader 2

FL: Kerry 47, Bush 41, Nader 4

NJ: Kerry 49, Bush 40, Nader 5

MI: Kerry 49, Bush 42, Nader 3

OK: Bush 59, Kerry 35

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Well so far, the speeches given by Kerry about still voting to support the war with Iraq and sensitivity towards handling the war on terrorism has not had much of n effect on the polls, except that the polls have swung over from Bush in Ohio, back to Kerry, in the constant dance that this states polling has shown over the last few months. This is one of the larger leads Kerry has shown in Ohio so far. Not unusual, as in Ohio, it seems that the economy is going to be a major issue, more likely to be far more important than either the war on terror or Iraq, as Ohio has been one of the states hit hardest by exporting jobs and the effects that the Bush tax cuts had on state funding. Considering that Bush is tracking Kerry just about everywhee he goes, showing up in every state and city Kerry visits just days after Kerry gives speeches there, there seems to be a great deal of worry on the part of the Bush Administration about trying to do immediate damage control over what Kerry has to say when he speaks at each location. The negative attacks on Kerry seem to be doing more damage to Bush than to Kerry so far. Kerry's leads in Ohio are growing larger, and his leads in several of the battleground states seem to be growing from neck and neck to the point wjhere Kerry is starting to polls just at the edges of the margin of errors for these polls which would be an indication that Kerry is starting to actually pull ahead of Bush rather than run neck and neck with him.

The latest Electoral College Projections :

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 307 Bush 231

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Election 2004

Electoral College

Bush 197 Kerry 228 Toss-Up 113

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Electoral%20College%20Projection.htm

Current Projected Tally:

Electoral Votes: Bush 242, Kerry 296
Popular Vote: Bush 47.5%, Kerry 50.

http://www.electionprojection.com/

Electoral College Update 21

Kerry 274, Bush 264 electoral votes.

http://www.robertsilvey.com/notes/2004_electoral_college_updates/index.html

Again, there seems to be litle that the Bush Administration throws at Kerry that seems to be conforming with the traditional Republican philosophy of "throw enough mud, and eventually some of it will stick".

So far, the Swift Boat Veterans against Kerry is turing into a fiasco that is blowing up in the Bush Administrations face, attempts to attack Kerry's performance in Vietnam is turing into a dismal failure, attacks on his supposed votes against military and intelligence funding has failed, trying to turn his vote to support the president's going to the U.N. to get support for use of force against Sadam Hussein has been repeated over and over again and in every format, has failed to catch fire. Kerry's record in Congtress and the record of his performance in Vietnam outweighs anything that can be said about a comannder in chief who's own military record is questionable at best, adn who seems to have a hard time convincing the public as to whther his military record exists, was destroyed, was found again, and what it actually says, is raising more doubt in the mind of the undecided public than Kerry's own recprd and it is becoming obvious that a large percentage of the public simply hold the fact that any wound that Kerry received in Vietnam under almost any circumstance is far more creidble and creditable than criticism from a predident who seems to have used his family connections to avoid service in Vietnam and that no one can find any truth in the statements made by his supporters that he "volunteered to serve as a pilot in Vietnam". This would have been difficulat as is flight ticket had been pulled months before the supposed volunteering. Anyway, we are doing good, and it seems that the Republican methods are not holding up very well against a bona fide hero.