Kerry gains slight edge in 16 key states

[dArKeR]

COUNTDOWN: Surveys show the senator and President George W. Bush running even but the Massachusetts senator leads in the race for the 538 electoral votes

AFP , WASHINGTON
Monday, Aug 16, 2004,Page 7

Senator John Kerry rides his bike as he takes a break on his campaign in Ketchum, Idaho, on Friday. Kerry appears to have a slight lead in the US presidential campaign.
PHOTO: AFP
http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/world/photo/2004/08/16/2003146517

Although polls show the US presidential race a virtual dead heat, Democrat Senator John Kerry appears to be gaining an edge over President George W. Bush among the key states that could decide the outcome.

A review of various polls showed the Massachusetts senator leading in the hunt for the decisive 538 electoral votes that are apportioned among the states and awarded in separate winner-take-all contests.

Nationwide, the Nov. 2 election is shaping up as every bit as close as the 2000 cliffhanger in which vice president Al Gore won the popular tally but lost to Bush by five electoral votes.

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/world/archives/2004/08/16/2003198989

[fujiyama]

1. I love how they spin it

"If Bush once looked comfortable in the midwestern state of Ohio, which he won in 2000, Kerry has inched ahead in some polls. But the president is making a strong move in neighboring Pennsylvania, where he lost four years ago."

He may be making a strong "move", but it's not paying off. Every recent poll has Bush trailing, two of them by double digits.

I'm not saying the state is safe or in the bag, but Bush is not making much progress in that state. It's funny how the article gives the wrong impression.

[The_Casual_Observer]

2. "running even"

Only if you add about ten points to chimp's numbers. The press needs to generate interest in this story, so they maintain that it is neck in neck when, in reality, it is probably going to be the largest landslide in history.

[DrMath]

3. And if you extrapolate...

Check out this link too:

http://www.spacerad.com/electoral/

Unbiased mathematical analysis that shows Kerry leading by lots in the EC.

[stevedeshazer]

4. Great link, DrMath

Very interesting results.

[dArKeR]

5. I've never seen a MSWHORE poll go this high. 408,000 57% Kerry

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=619312

This is way past the range of being "unscientific"!