|
Edited on Mon Aug-16-04 03:41 AM by fujiyama
Also do you know how he's doing compared to Gore in state polls at this point?
I know it really doesn't matter because the dynamics of this race are completely different and with Bush in office already and him strengthening his grip on power, we know he'll try all sorts of crazy things to win (including cheating, rigging, and stealing).
Still it might be interesting to see the differences. Were the states that were considered battlegrounds showing different results?
My own guess, is that I think Kerry is stronger than Gore was in a few states like PA, WA, OR, OH, WV, and MI. I'm not sure about other states though. Many are still very close. What about Florida? Kerry seems to have a lead there (at least shown by two reputable polls)...
Any differences? Obviously Kerry can't rely on Gore's map to win because of the census, but at the minimum he needs to win all the Gore states. At this point IA, WI, and to a lesser extent, MN worry me because of the close margins in the last election.
What about the rapid response? I don't really remember how it went, though I see the media doing similar things they did to Gore..For him it was the "I invented the internet", Love Story, and later such things as a lullaby...For Kerry it's the "flip flop", "sensitive war", and ass hole swift boats.
In spite of all that he still won the popular vote. That's why I'm not worried the popular vote. Bush hasn't gained too many voters. Kerry would have - people that didn't vote before, ex Naderites, and pissed off republicans and conservatives.
As we know though, the popular vote doesn't matter...It's all about winning key states.
|