Colorado DEAD EVEN! ElectionModel: Kerry 338 EV

[TruthIsAll]

47-47 Means Kerry is ahead 51-49 cuz he gets the undecided 2-1..

* TOAST

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[autorank]

1. Good, no excellent news!

Thanks for 'sharing the love.' I admire your statistical analysis. First rate stuff.

[rockymountaindem]

2. Don't get too excited.

Although I live in the most conservative part of the state, I really don't think that CO will go for Kerry. The good news is that Salazar will probably win, and we may add seats to the House. However, I don't see Bush* losing Colorado. However, we're getting closer and it may not be too long until Colorado will vote for a Dem. Presidential nominee. Remember that in the last election nobody even talked about CO going for Gore. We're getting closer, slowly...

[Rowdyboy]

3. What about the constitutional amendment to split Colorado's

electoral vote proportionately? Any idea as to its odds of passage? It supposedly would go into effect immediately. Had it been in effect in 2000, Gore would have won 270-268....

[rockymountaindem]

4. Sorry.

The Republicans won't vote for that because it will dilute their power here, and independents won't vote for it because "it will lessen Colorado's influence in national politics".

Don't give up hope! By 2012 we may very well be solid Democratic!

[Rowdyboy]

5. I'm a little surprised...From the VERY little press coverage I'd seen

I thought the amendment might pass. Oh, well...I agree with you about 2012. Maybe even a few years earlier...

[iwantmycountryback]

6. Actually

heard Greenfield mention this on Aaron Brown's show a couple minutes ago. Alos mentioned how Kerry is leading in many battleground states including Florida, Ohio, and Missouri. But, not to possibly sound like actually giving credit to Kerry:these are only 2 or 3 point leads and there hasn't been the RNC yet so even a moderate bounce will change this. Why do I think that Kerry's leading in those states than by a lot more than 2 or 3?