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Survey USA's 5 point McBush lead in MO is NOT accurate, here is why

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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-01-08 07:51 PM
Original message
Survey USA's 5 point McBush lead in MO is NOT accurate, here is why
It shows Obama winning KC by 1%.

Now lets assume that by KC Survey US means Jackson county, which contains KC and surrounding more rural conservative areas. Kerry won Jackson county 58% to 41%. Your telling me Obama is going to win it by 1%? Not in a million years.
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-01-08 07:57 PM
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1. Hmm....that is pretty messed up.
In a Presidential Election, why wouldn't they refer to 04 when weighting their poll?

:shrug:

They make a genuine effort to be as close as possible...
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darius15 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-01-08 08:00 PM
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2. Yeah, I agree
if anything, it's probably tied in MO. Obama visited MO recently so let's see if that helps him.
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-01-08 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Not to mention polls can not measure turnout
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