Looking at the fundamentals of the election

[kpete]

Monday, August 11, 2008

Looking at the fundamentals of the election



This graph from Alan Abramowitz (hat tip: Seth Colter) suggests that the 10 day rolling average of the Gallup poll is pretty stable, with Obama having a modest 3 to 4 point lead over a fairly long span of time.

[tblue]

1. Okay. But we need to look at the race state-by-state.

[AtomicKitten]

2. There it is, a consistent stable lead all the way to the White House!