Hays Research: Obama Leads in Alaska - 45% O - 40% M

[Pirate Smile]

Hays Research: Obama Leads in Alaska

A new Hays Research (D) survey in Alaska shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 45% to 40%.

The poll has a margin of error of 4.9%.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/08/12/hays_research_obama_leads_in_alaska.html

:)

Alaska Statewide Presidential Poll Results



Survey conducted 8/6/08-8/7/08

Question 1

Answered by 400 out of 400


"Thinking about the election for President of the United States, if the

election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama,

Republican John McCain or Independent Ralph Nader, for whom would you vote

or are you undecided?"

Obama - strong 138/400 35%
Obama - not so strong 28/400 7%
Undecided - lean Obama 15/400 4%
Total Obama 181/400 45%

McCain - strong 127/400 32%
McCain - not so strong 26/400 7%
Undecided - lean McCain 8/400 2%
Total McCain 161/400 40%

Nader - strong 6/400 1.5%
Nader - not so strong 2/400 <1%
Undecided - lean Nader 1/400 <1%
Total Nader 9/400 2%

Other 8/400 2%
Undecided / Don't Know 41/400 10%

http://www.haysresearch.com/080708.htm

[Drunken Irishman]

1. That MOE is way too high to take it seriously.

I'd love for this to be true, but if the MOE is closing in on 5%, you know the poll is probably bunk.

I'm not saying Obama doesn't lead, but don't get your hopes up until you see another poll to balance this out. My guess, McCain leads by a slim margin there.

[Pirate Smile]

4. I'm just enjoying it. The Republican scandals in Alaska and a never-been-done-before

Democratic turnout effort will make it interesting but I certainly wouldn't count on it. I just like making Republicans sweat about states they shouldn't have to be concerned with defending. :evilgrin:

[Drunken Irishman]

5. If Obama wins Alaska, it will be a landslide. :)

Even if it's close, let the Repubs sweat!

[PresidentObama]

8. See #7, it won't happen. It's great that it's closer than in the past.

But AK won't go for the Dems in the fall.

I'm willing to bet a $1,000,000 on it.

[AtomicKitten]

2. Alaska is slipping through GOP fingers.

Fabulous!

[ingac70]

3. I'm not banking on Alaska, but...

if we were to win that, that will be all she wrote for RepubliCONs for a good while.

[SuperTrouper]

6. McBush needs Sarah Palin to save his hide in Alaska LOL!

[PresidentObama]

7. Does anyone really believe we can win Alaska? I mean, it's great that things are closer.

The 50 state strategy is working.

But I think it's not very realistic to believe we'll win there.

Iowa? Yeah. Virginia? Maybe. Colorado? Could happen.

But Alaska? I doubt it.

Here's the results from AK for the last few four elections:

2004: Kerry 35%, Bush 62%
2000: Gore 28%, Bush 59%
1996: Clinton 33%, Dole 51%
1992: Clinton 30%, Bush 40%

In not ONE election, has a Democrat got above 40% in Alaska in the last four elections.

In all but one, the Republicans got 50%+ and the majority of votes. Only one that didn't break 50% was in 1992, when Perot made it a three way race.

It's great we're putting effort into Alaska. I read that Obama has offices there, and I'm sure the scandals will help.

But it's not going to happen.

[ccharles000]

9. Lovely

[Hope And Change]

10. K & R!