USA Today/CNN/Gallup Registered Voter results 48% Kerry to 47% Bush

[papau]

Edited the headline "What's USA Today/CNN/Gallup Registered Voter results (not likely voter" )to reflect DemocratSinceBirth post below that the RV result was 48% Kerry to 47% Bush - so it now reads
USA Today/CNN/Gallup Registered Voter results 48% Kerry to 47% Bush


USAToday

Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Other Neither No opinion
Registered Voters
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 48 48 * 1 3
(2004 Jul 30-31) (50) (47) (*) (1) (2)

National Adults
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 50 46 * 1 3
(2004 Jul 30-31) (51) (46) (*) (1) (2)

Are you certain now that you will vote for John Kerry/George W. Bush for president next fall, or do you think you may change your mind between now and the November election?

Vote for Kerry, certain Vote for Kerry, may change mind Vote for Bush, may change mind Vote for Bush, certain No opinion NET: ”swing voters”
Registered Voters
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 43 6 7 41 3 16
(2004 Jul 30-31) (44) (6) (7) (40) (3) (16)

National Adults
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 43 7 8 38 4 19
(2004 Jul 30-31) (43) (8) (8) (38) (3) (19)
Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo as independent candidates. Who would you vote for?

Kerry/ Edwards Bush/ Cheney Nader/ Camejo Other None No opinion
Registered Voters
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 47 48 2 * 1 2
(2004 Jul 30-31) (47) (47) (3) (*) (1) (2)

National Adults
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 48 45 3 * 2 2
(2004 Jul 30-31) (48) (45) (4) (*) (1) (2)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

Approve Disapprove No opinion
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 48 49 3
(2004 Jul 30-31) (47) (49) (4)


If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district: The Democratic Party's candidate or The Republican Party's candidate?

Democratic candidate Republican candidate Undecided/ other
Registered Voters
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 49 44 7
(2004 Jul 30-31) (50) (43) (7)

National Adults
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 50 42 8
(2004 Jul 30-31) (51) (42) (7)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. 48 For The Hero... 47 For Chicken George....

[papau]

2. Thanks

:-)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. YW

It gives me another chance to call AWOL Chicken George...

[papau]

8. a bit more detail

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-08-26-usat-poll_x.htm?POE=NEWISVA

CNN Gallup USAToday has Kerry 48/47 RV,, but Bush 48/46 LV


Details on CNN-USAToday-Gallup 8/26 poll


Other polls released Thursday also found the race very close with Bush-Cheney at 48 percent, Kerry-Edwards at 46 percent and Nader-Camejo at 4 percent in a CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/p ...

Posted 8/26/2004 3:56 PM
Poll: Bush has slim lead over Kerry
By Jill Lawrence, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — President Bush enters his convention week holding a slight lead over Democrat John Kerry and regaining ground he lost after the Democratic convention on the key issues of handling terrorism and Iraq, a new USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll shows.
In a head-to-head matchup, Bush led Kerry 50%-47% among likely voters, while Kerry led Bush 48%-47% among registered voters. When independent Ralph Nader is included, Bush leads Kerry, 48%-46%, among likely voters. Nader gets 4%.<snip>

Bush's favorable rating of 54% was his highest since April. By contrast, Kerry's 52% was his lowest since January. <snip>

At the same time, the poll found that most people, 63%, think Kerry is definitely or probably telling the truth about his military service. Half say Bush is very or somewhat responsible for the ads the group is running, although Bush and his campaign have denied any involvement. And 56% say Bush should denounce the ads.

Pollster Mark Mellman, a senior Kerry adviser, says the poll shows "the vast majority of Americans understand that this smear against John Kerry is in fact untrue. They hold President Bush responsible for it." Mellman also said that based on individual state polls, Kerry is ahead in states with 320 electoral votes. A candidate needs 270 to win the presidency.<snip>

• Bush leads Kerry 49%-43% on who would handle Iraq better. Kerry was ahead 48%-47% right after the convention.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-37% on who would handle terrorism better. Kerry had risen to 41% after his convention.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-34% on who people think is "a strong and decisive leader." Kerry had halved that lead to 10 points right after the convention.

[papau]

9. NBC/WSJ poll unchanged since Reagan death)President/Kerry still deadlocked

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5833253 /

NBC News Poll:
President, Kerry still deadlocked
Some troubling numbers for Bush on war, economy
By Mark Murray
NBC News
Aug. 26, 2004WASHINGTON -<snip>According to the survey, which was conducted by Hart/McInturff, Bush and Dick Cheney get support from 47 percent of registered voters, Democrats Kerry and John Edwards get 45 percent, and Independents Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo get 3 percent. Those numbers are virtually unchanged from the last NBC/Journal poll, which was released on July 22. Overall, 50 percent of registered voters believe the nation is headed in the wrong direction, compared with 36 percent who believe it’s headed in the right direction. And asked whether Bush deserves re-election, 50 percent say no, while 46 percent say yes. All of these results are practically identical to the findings from the July survey.

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). July 19-21, 2004. N=813 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4
"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates, John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo were running as independent candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?"
Bush/Cheney Kerry/Edwards Nader/Camejo None/Other (vol.) Unsure % % % % %
7/19-21/04 47 45 2 1 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Democrat Stan Greenberg and Republican Bill McInturff.
In the poll, conducted July 18-20, Kerry was favored by 47 percent of respondents, the president by 46. The poll's margin of error is 3.46 percent. But the survey also shows Kerry leading in swing states -- those in which neither party's presidential candidate dominated in the 2000 election.Fifty-four percent of poll respondents also continue to see the country as being on the wrong track, compared with 40 percent saying things are going in the right direction. That also matches the June poll. And President Bush's approval rating has fallen to 49 percent -- the first time it has slipped below 50 percent (where it was in June), according to the latest poll<snip>
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). June 25-28, 2004. N=1,025 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush were running as the Republican candidate and John Kerry were running as the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"

GeorgeW. Bush JohnKerry Depends(vol.) Neither/Other (vol.) NotSure % % % % %
6/25-28/04 47 47 1 1 4
5/1-3/04 48 45 1 2 4
3/6-8/04 48 45 1 2 4

[lancdem]

4. Is this the new CNN poll?

Why are the dates July 30-Aug. 1?

[papau]

6. Gallup site says 50-47 Bush, Polling report shows same for 8/9 to 11

Gallup Poll. Aug. 9-11, 2004. N=897 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 4); 729 likely voters (MoE ± 4). Trend includes CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll.
But Gallup site says 8/23/25

Very confusing
.
This is the 8/9-11 results as reported at Polling report.

"Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates. Would you vote for John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, or George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans?" If undecided: "As of today, do you lean more toward Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats, or Bush and Cheney, the Republicans?"

Bush/Cheney Kerry/Edwards Neither(vol.) Other(vol.) No Opinion % % % % %
Among likely voters:
8/9-11/04
50 47 1 - 2
7/30 - 8/1/04
51 47 - - 2

Among registered voters:

8/9-11/04
48 47 2 1 2
7/30 - 8/1/04

"Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo as independent candidates. Would you vote for Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats, Bush and Cheney, the Republicans, or Nader and Camejo, the independent candidates?" If undecided: "As of today, do you lean more toward Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats, Bush and Cheney, the Republicans or Nader and Camejo, the independents?"

Bush/Cheney Kerry/Edwards Nader/Camejo None/Other (vol.) No Opinion % %
Among likely voters:
8/9-11/04
48 46 3 1 2
7/30 - 8/1/04
51 45 2 1 1
Among registered voters:

8/9-11/04
46 45 5 1 3
7/30 - 8/1/04
48 47 2 1 2 CNN Gallup USAToday has Kerry 48/47 RV,, but Bush 48/46 LV


Details on CNN-USAToday-Gallup 8/26 poll


Other polls released Thursday also found the race very close with Bush-Cheney at 48 percent, Kerry-Edwards at 46 percent and Nader-Camejo at 4 percent in a CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/p ...

Posted 8/26/2004 3:56 PM
Poll: Bush has slim lead over Kerry
By Jill Lawrence, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — President Bush enters his convention week holding a slight lead over Democrat John Kerry and regaining ground he lost after the Democratic convention on the key issues of handling terrorism and Iraq, a new USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll shows.
In a head-to-head matchup, Bush led Kerry 50%-47% among likely voters, while Kerry led Bush 48%-47% among registered voters. When independent Ralph Nader is included, Bush leads Kerry, 48%-46%, among likely voters. Nader gets 4%.<snip>

Bush's favorable rating of 54% was his highest since April. By contrast, Kerry's 52% was his lowest since January. <snip>

At the same time, the poll found that most people, 63%, think Kerry is definitely or probably telling the truth about his military service. Half say Bush is very or somewhat responsible for the ads the group is running, although Bush and his campaign have denied any involvement. And 56% say Bush should denounce the ads.

Pollster Mark Mellman, a senior Kerry adviser, says the poll shows "the vast majority of Americans understand that this smear against John Kerry is in fact untrue. They hold President Bush responsible for it." Mellman also said that based on individual state polls, Kerry is ahead in states with 320 electoral votes. A candidate needs 270 to win the presidency.<snip>

• Bush leads Kerry 49%-43% on who would handle Iraq better. Kerry was ahead 48%-47% right after the convention.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-37% on who would handle terrorism better. Kerry had risen to 41% after his convention.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-34% on who people think is "a strong and decisive leader." Kerry had halved that lead to 10 points right after the convention.

[Proud2BAmurkin]

5. Outstanding

.

[papau]

7. Details on CNN-USAToday-Gallup 8/26 poll

CNN Gallup USAToday has Kerry 48/47 RV,, but Bush 48/46 LV


Details on CNN-USAToday-Gallup 8/26 poll


Other polls released Thursday also found the race very close with Bush-Cheney at 48 percent, Kerry-Edwards at 46 percent and Nader-Camejo at 4 percent in a CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/p ...

Posted 8/26/2004 3:56 PM
Poll: Bush has slim lead over Kerry
By Jill Lawrence, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — President Bush enters his convention week holding a slight lead over Democrat John Kerry and regaining ground he lost after the Democratic convention on the key issues of handling terrorism and Iraq, a new USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll shows.
In a head-to-head matchup, Bush led Kerry 50%-47% among likely voters, while Kerry led Bush 48%-47% among registered voters. When independent Ralph Nader is included, Bush leads Kerry, 48%-46%, among likely voters. Nader gets 4%.<snip>

Bush's favorable rating of 54% was his highest since April. By contrast, Kerry's 52% was his lowest since January. <snip>

At the same time, the poll found that most people, 63%, think Kerry is definitely or probably telling the truth about his military service. Half say Bush is very or somewhat responsible for the ads the group is running, although Bush and his campaign have denied any involvement. And 56% say Bush should denounce the ads.

Pollster Mark Mellman, a senior Kerry adviser, says the poll shows "the vast majority of Americans understand that this smear against John Kerry is in fact untrue. They hold President Bush responsible for it." Mellman also said that based on individual state polls, Kerry is ahead in states with 320 electoral votes. A candidate needs 270 to win the presidency.<snip>

• Bush leads Kerry 49%-43% on who would handle Iraq better. Kerry was ahead 48%-47% right after the convention.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-37% on who would handle terrorism better. Kerry had risen to 41% after his convention.

• Bush leads Kerry 54%-34% on who people think is "a strong and decisive leader." Kerry had halved that lead to 10 points right after the convention.