New Rasmussen *48 Kerry 45 First Bush lead of more than 1 since June

[Fionn]

Sunday August 29, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

This is the first time since the Democratic National Convention that Bush has been up by more than a single point in the Tracking Poll. It is the first time since June 12 that he has been up by three points.

Yesterday, for the first time all year, our projection showed Bush with an advantage in the Electoral College. We will be issuing another Electoral College update today at 3:00 p.m. Eastern.

Our current projection shows Bush with 200 Electoral Votes to 190 for Kerry. The magic number needed to reach the White House is 270 Electoral Votes. This is based upon a series of new state election polls from Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Missouri, and Ohio. Other recent state polls include Minnesota, California, Florida, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada.

Today's 3:00 p.m. update will be based upon new polling data from Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin.

Other survey data released today shows that just 21% of Americans believe the United Nations is our ally in the War on Terror. Public assessment of France is even bleaker.

Other data shows that most Americans discuss the War in Iraq with family, friends, and co-workers at least once a week.

Beginning September 1, Rasmussen Reports will expand our Tracking Poll to 1,000 Likely Voters per night. At the same time, we will increase the flow of information provided both on the public site and for our Premium Members.

Premium Service during the final two months of the campaign will include daily tracking for Florida, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. We will also provide frequent updates for many other states and key Senate races. Details on the Premium Member enhancements will be released this evening.

Supplemental data is available for

RR Premium Members.

Learn about Premium Membership

Premium Members can review data showing public preference for Bush or Kerry when it comes to taxes, Social Security, Education, Iraq, and Health Care.

Also, a survey conducted Monday and Tuesday night found that 45% of voters nationally say Bush is more honest and trustworthy than Kerry. Thirty-nine percent (39%) take the opposite view.

While debate has raged about past military service of the candidates, 46% of voters say that Bush has a better vision for the future of Iraq than Kerry. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say Kerry has a better vision for Iraq (Demographics are available for Premium Members).\






They've started cooking the polls to make Bush's bounce look better than ours. Gop Fuckers.

[Guaranteed]

1. Bye nt

[TrueAmerican]

2. um, don't you have the numbers backwards?

hmm

[Fionn]

3. *48 Kerry 45

I thought it was pretty clear.