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I See People Here Are Still Peddling The Flawed Rassmunen Poll...

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-29-04 01:04 PM
Original message
I See People Here Are Still Peddling The Flawed Rassmunen Poll...
I am consistent.... I won't cite him when he has us up and I won't cite him when he has us down....


www.rasmussenreports.com

I question his methodology which consists of robots* making the calls
and his failure to "weight" for party identification...


This is the clown who called it 49% -40% for AWOL on Election Eve 00...



His poll shows a 48% -45% lead for Bush... Of course this is a function of the Congressional Ballot which has the Dems leading the Reps 42% -40%...

Watch his poll... When Republicans go up on the Congressional ballot Bush goes up and when Dems go up Kerry goes up...

It is a grossly unreliable poll...


*- automated calling machines......
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Bernardo de La Paz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-29-04 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
1. Latest Zogby poll is extremely reliable and positive
Zogby Poll is solid Kerry, low margin of error, high confidence

99 percent confidence (not 95 like most), 1 percent margin of error, not usual 3 or 4 percent.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=686912#686922


Expect a huge Bush bounce: 10 to 16 points (wink)
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Gloria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-29-04 01:20 PM
Response to Original message
2. This morning, Russert also changed his tune after his very neg.
analysis of internals on NBC Nightly News earlier this week...

This AM, on MSNBC, he said that Bush was slightly ahead in spite of all the negative internals (cited the big ones--economy, r/w track, etc) and the bimbo said that Bush had "THE BIG MO." Russert cited the crap about Bush being "steadfast" or something like that....

I posted a thread ealier on his with more details (in GD2004)
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-29-04 01:23 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. This Race Is A Pickem
Some days I give the nod to AWOL and some days I give the nod to Kerry....


The Electoral College is a tough nut for a non southern Democrat to crack...


Hell, it's a tough nut for any Democrat to crack...
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