:popcorn:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2092443/posts09.28.08 Gallup: O-50 M-42 Obama +8
Gallup ^ | 09.28.08 | Gallup
Posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:02:58 PM by Perdogg
09.28.08 Gallup: O-50 M-42 Obama +8
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
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TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; gallup; mccain; obama
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1 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:02:58 PM by Perdogg
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Comment #2 Removed by Moderator
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To: Perdogg
I just cannot believe people will elect a dumbhead for President
3 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:03:57 PM by yldstrk (My heros have always been cowboys--Reagan and Bush)
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To: Perdogg
And Zogby has the tied.
Polls.........
4 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:04:17 PM by svcw (Great selection of gift baskets:
http://baskettastic.com/)
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To: Perdogg
Wow, that is an impressive and decisive lead. So much for all the contorted arguments invented by people here. I think the bailout has hurt McCain, perhaps irreparably.
5 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:04:53 PM by nwrep
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To: Norman Bates
you were right.
6 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:04:59 PM by Perdogg (Vice President Sarah H Palin - Make it happen !!!!)
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To: Perdogg
Is this that “registered voters” crap, again?
7 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:05:39 PM by Cedric
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To: Perdogg
The political education of America is terrible. I see that even in people I know are otherwise very smart. Obama promises more to the people, and that’s all a lot of them need to know. Sadly.
8 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:05:42 PM by kc8ukw
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To: Perdogg
Pray for a miracle.
9 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:07:13 PM by Hattie
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To: Perdogg
weekend poll, still not out of the economic crisis, gallup always has bigger fluctuations, so dont go all wobbly.
10 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:07:17 PM by Canedawg (“If the law supposes that,” said Mr. Bumble,… “the law is a ass—a idiot.")
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To: Perdogg
I think it’s Barry’s lunch time.
11 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:07:28 PM by Rudder
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To: nwrep
Not if it's “registered voters”.
The Dems are in full flight retreat on the bailout, as we type.
Brilliant move by McCain!
12 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:07:36 PM by Cedric
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To: nwrep
I think the bailout has hurt McCain, perhaps irreparably.
It's not the bailout. It's the financial crisis. That lays on the doorstep of Bush and the Republicans. And it may not be fixable in a month.
If I had my tin hat handy I would accuse the Dems of orchestrating a September Surprise.
13 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:07:54 PM by InterceptPoint
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To: Perdogg
The United States has officially jumped the shark. Although there is a very large Obama number from Thursday that will drop off tomorrow, this number looks like Obama still won Saturday significantly (around 47-40).
14 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:08:15 PM by Azzurri
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To: Canedawg
it aint over yet. remember: mccain was always the underdog and a miracle he’s still around
15 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:08:42 PM by ari-freedom (Just let Sarah be Sarah!)
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To: Perdogg
The democrats are pinning this mess on Republicans and its working.
16 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:09:08 PM by linn37 (Hail Me, Obama or be cast into the fiery pits of eternal damnation!")
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To: kc8ukw
damn..
Republicans in general, and McCain in particlar, are not hitting Obama hard enough on who he is, who his friends are, and what he wants to give give give to the American people.
I think I need to go lay down..maybe till after the election.
17 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:09:16 PM by Lets Be Frank
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To: Perdogg
Well, now I’m getting worried.
18 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:09:18 PM by jokemoke
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To: Perdogg
Actually, I really like the Heritage Foundation’s Leadership for America campaign. I don’t know if it’ll work, but it’s the right idea. We’re reaching the point where conservatives will not be able to win elections even if we all get behind our candidates. Our problem is more basic than that. We need to reteach Americans about the philosophical principles that this nation was built on, and why they are the best.
19 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:09:22 PM by kc8ukw
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To: Perdogg
I the last 4 days it’s went from:
Thur: Even
Fri: O +3
Sat: O +5
Sun: O +8
It’s not the actual poll number that should concern everyone, it’s the direction and magnitude of the move.
20 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:09:29 PM by tatown (How to piss off a liberal: Work hard and be happy!)
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To: Perdogg
The problem here is that people blame the politicians that have been in power for this mess.
Rational or not, McCain is part of the Washington establishment so he gets the blame.
People are in an UGLY mood. They want CHANGE and are not rational enough to discern good change from bad change.
21 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:09:38 PM by EEDUDE
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To: yldstrk
people are like sheep. And dumb people will vote for whoever tells them what they want to hear. If I were to say that God is going to avenge the dead of abortion on a national level, anyone gonna listen? Historically, no. But I still have to warn them. It is their choice, and therefore, the judgment and consequences are justified.
22 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:10:28 PM by huldah1776 ( Worthy is the Lamb)
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To: InterceptPoint
and Bush was responsible for encouraging homeownership as a key part of “compassionate conservatism.” I hate this.
23 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:10:39 PM by ari-freedom (Just let Sarah be Sarah!)
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To: Cedric
“Is this that “registered voters” crap, again?”
Yes, it’s registered voters. And Gallup weights their results, but unlike Rasmussen, Gallup does not publish how they manipulate the data.
Wizbang analysis of Gallup poll from a week ago:
“So, put it all together, and in the past week Obama has stayed steady or lost support in every party identification group, yet Gallup says his overall support went up four points. And McCain stayed steady or went up in every party identification group, yet we are supposed to accept the claim that his overall support went down by four points? Anyone have an answer for how that is even possible?
Well, actually I do. There is one, and only one, possible way that such a thing can happen mathematically. And that way, is that Gallup made major changes to the political affiliation weighting from the last week to now. Gallup has significantly increased the proportional weight of Democrat response and reduced the weight of Republican response. Bear in mind that this assumes that people change the foundation of their political opinion like a showgirl changes costumes, which has no scientific basis or historical support whatsoever.”
http://wizbangblog.com/content/2008/09/19/how-liberal-trolls-are-working-to-get-mccain-elected-president.php24 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:10:52 PM by frankjr
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To: Perdogg
Another FReeper posted yesterday that Gallup's 3 day rolling average had:
Wed: McCain 46, Obama 44%
Thurs: McCain 39%, Obama 56%
Fri: McCain 47%, Obama 47%
If true, then today's Gallup still has Thursday's OUTLIER included in the 3 day rolling average: Thurs, Fri, Saturday. Tomorrow's Gallup sould be more interesting without Thursday's huge outlier.
25 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:10:58 PM by avacado
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To: yldstrk
Neither can I. I’m just at a loss for words. This is the effect of the MSM on the public.
They have successfully covered up Obama’s marxist past, totally glossed over Rev. Wright anti-Americanism and racism and have the people brainwashed into believing that this whole Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac mess is the fault of the Republicans.
Obama is like teflon. We’re going to lose this election.
26 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:11:10 PM by faithinchaos ("You can put a flag pin on a marxist but he's still a marxist."---Jim Quinn)
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To: Perdogg
Obambi may just be the next president, but he will always be Chairman Mao to me.
I refuse to call this Marxist president.
27 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:11:25 PM by OpusatFR (UMD Russia Studies long before you were born.)
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To: InterceptPoint
If I had my tin hat handy I would accuse the Dems of orchestrating a September Surprise.
The Dems and Paulson (another Dem) have known this economic showdown was coming for nearly a year. The bill was concocted by them for just when they decided it should hit. They couldn't stop Palin so they pulled the trigger in Sept.
Time for reality.
28 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:11:26 PM by Hattie
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To: Perdogg
Bad economic news is always good for the Democrat
29 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:12:21 PM by flyfree (Biden is no Palin and Obama is no McCain)
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To: Perdogg
Well, Rasmussen and Gallup both showed Obama pulling away immediately after McCain suspended his campaign (in which he also pulled his ads).
As for the debate, the Sheeple may just be so pissed off with Republicans that all Obama had to do come ahead is not piss all over himself.
At this point, the media’s narrative will turn to Obama’s “big lead”. Any attack by McCain will be framed as “desperation.”
Still not over by a long shot.
30 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:12:33 PM by Chet 99
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To: Hattie
i mean come on...just right before an election. this is so stupid
31 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:12:35 PM by ari-freedom (Just let Sarah be Sarah!)
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To: Perdogg
There is something seriously wrong with this poll. The breakdown shows "pure independents" breaking for McCain by 4-6% more each time a new poll comes out.
The LIBS break left and the CONS break right has remained steady.
Since we cannot see the sample breakdown we need to adjust for oversampling of RATS by the Rass % of 6-9 pts.
McCain needs to stress that without SECURITY (a position he is well favored) there will be no ECONOMY ( a poition that he trails in)
32 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:13:37 PM by IllumiNaughtyByNature (I Love The Smell Of Schmidt Storm in the Morning...and Afternoon....and at Night!!!!!)
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To: Perdogg
Party ID: The Case for Weights and Historical Margins (Current polls all oversampling Dems)
33 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:13:46 PM by TonyInOhio (This is no time to go wobbly.)
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To: frankjr; All
Thanks.
No responsible polling agency puts out a “registered voters” poll this late in the game unless it's trying to deflate one side and buoy the other.
34 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:14:30 PM by Cedric
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To: EEDUDE
Rational or not, McCain is part of the Washington establishment so he gets the blame.
And Obama and Biden aren't?
35 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:14:51 PM by NonZeroSum
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To: Perdogg
This just tells me that the people living in this country aren’t as smart as they think they are.
36 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:14:53 PM by FlingWingFlyer (Obama - The Next Josef Stalin.)
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To: Perdogg
It looks like the “experience” angle isn’t the right tactic for either the Republicans or the Democrats - it simply hasn’t worked against either Obama or Palin. The McCain campaign hasn’t effectively tied Obama and the Democrats to the subprime mortgage crisis and somehow this Democratic mess is now associated in the minds of the public with the Republicans - incredible.
37 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:15:26 PM by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: Perdogg
Well, I can see that this bogus, “registered voters” poll is having precisely the effect desired!
38 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:18:19 PM by Cedric
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To: FlingWingFlyer
Well, they’re not smart at all. They’ll get what they deserve if Zero wins, but unfortunately, we’ll get what they deserve too. He’s going to destroy this country if he gets the chance.
39 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:18:31 PM by GiveEmDubya (You go girl!)
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To: EEDUDE
The trend has been all Obama the last 2 weeks. McCain was up about 3 points 2 weeks ago. even a week ago, and now down 6-8 points. Athough I don’t think Obama truly has a 6-8 point lead, or will carry that through Nov, it is not great right now.
It is hard to believe when the dems were 80% responsible for this financial crisis, that McCain is getting the blame. Bush and McCain have been calling for reform of the financial system since 2002. They have sponsored hearings and bills. The democrats have said for 8 years, there is no crisis. This is all clearly documented. Yet Bush/McCain get the blame.
We have got to get a bailout bill signed to calm the markets. That will relieve some of the fear Americans have right now. Also, it will allow McCain and the 527’s to go on attack to show who really caused this mess. Until the financial news if off the radar screen, McCain cannot get his messages out.
Keep the faith everyone. We still have 5 weeks to go, and that is a long time in politics. I remember in 2000 around 7:40pm on election night, thinking it was over when they called Florida for Gore. But things have a way of working out. In my heart, I just cannot believe that America will elect the most liberal inexperienced politician of the last 100 years.
40 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:18:46 PM by gswilder
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To: yldstrk
I've been trying to warn folks, but to no avail.
Nobama had to meet a certain threshold, but most here are too partisan to see he met it. After the last 8 years, that bar has been lowered. The economy sucks, and a lot of people don't like this war.
Nobama spoke well without a teleprompter. He articulated the liberal view pretty well, and unless a miracle happens, I think people are going to vote for that liberal view.
We need to be out canvassing our neighborhoods and manning the phones instead of talking here.
In my case, I'm in a very red state, so I'm emailing everyone I know who lives in blue states making the very best case I can make. I'm going to see if I can work phone banks to other states.
41 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:19:22 PM by Texas_shutterbug
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To: Perdogg
If this is true then we will have elected a Marxist for president and we can be expected to be carted off to the gulags and reeducation camps. Won’t be long until we are made into soap and our skin into lampshades. This is the Third Reich all over again right here in Obama’s New America. Fascist to the core.
42 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:19:24 PM by RichardW
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To: Perdogg
Didn't Gallup have McCain up by 10 points just a few weeks ago?
You can put whatever spin you want on it,,,,
but it has been an absolutely incredible shift to Hussein.
43 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:19:39 PM by stockstrader (VOTE DEMOCRATIC--it's so much easier than thinking.)
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To: avacado
Sorry but I not buying the outlier theory anymore. I have been hearing for a week here now, that the 2 day ago outlier would drop off. However, Obama is continuing to grow his lead.
44 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:20:52 PM by gswilder
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To: Cedric
I hope you are joking. Even a registered voter lead that is expanding every day is worrisome. The general direction of all polls points to a blowout victory by the Obama machine.
45 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:21:46 PM by nwrep
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To: Texas_shutterbug
Nobama spoke well without a teleprompter. He articulated the liberal view pretty well, and unless a miracle happens, I think people are going to vote for that liberal view.
Exactly. Independents were looking only at 'body language'--and NOT at the issues or what was spoken.
That is precisely why I think these 'so-called' debates are a joke--because the gulf between the parties has never been bigger....
and who does better at 'performance art'--should have very little to do with who is elected. Sad. Very sad.
46 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:22:05 PM by stockstrader (VOTE DEMOCRATIC--it's so much easier than thinking.)
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To: ari-freedom
The Sheeple may vote for Obama. If they do, I place most of the blame on the Republican party. The stupid party has allowed the Democrats to set the agenda and have for the past 8 years played nice. Obama and company are not interested in playing nice-they want to win to obtain power and control of our lives.
It's not over-we have 2 more debates between McCain and Obama and we have debate between Palin and Biden. We also have the NRA ads coming. I am not optimistic but I am not ready to concede.
Also, like many Freepers, I now only give time and money to conservative candidates. I hung up on a caller from the Maine Republican Party the other day. I am nice guy but I have had it with the Republican Party, local, state, and national
47 posted on Sunday, September 28, 2008 1:22:05 PM by Maine Mariner
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To: stockstrader
It's not helping with the base 1. this bail out and 2. the fact the Palin is MIA and when she is allowed to speak she's only allowed to repeat the same ten inane lines.
They don't call the GOP the Stupid Party for nothing.