Rasmussen reports: Bush 49% Kerry 45%

[Onlooker]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/

And, god, the convention isn't even over.

[Snivi Yllom]

1. rasmussen is full of shit

He was wayyyy off in 2000.

[Liberal Veteran]

2. I just got hit in the head with a piece of the sky!

The sky is falling!

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

3. Oh come on!

Would you give it a rest? Everyone knows conventions give bounces, all of which are short lived. By the end of next week, they'll be running even again.

[democratreformed]

5. No. By the end of next week, it will be just the opposite...

Kerry 49 Bush 45

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

7. Probably true

[David Dunham]

15. My thoughts exactly.

[WI_DEM]

4. well ARG has the race Kerry 46, Bush 45

in a poll taken Monday thru Wednesday.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/

Let's not get too excited about Rasmussen showing a bump for Shrub. It won't last.

[rockymountaindem]

9. You should post that in a seperate thread.

It's worth spreading around.

[WI_DEM]

20. I did about an hour ago

it got about 10 responses and then sunk off the page--I just kicked it back up. It appears people respond more to bad news than good.

[John Q. Citizen]

12. New Poll

Show 99.9% of respondent agree elections aren't won posting poll results (good or bad) to Democratic underground.

Time to quit talking and start working. I'm heading out in about a half hour to the local college and registering voters.

Anyone care to join me?

[Southsideirish]

6. Some of us here knew he should have been fighting back hard

these last few weeks yet whenever we would bring it up we got shouted down as a bunch of "doom and gloomers."

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

10. Because you still are doom and gloomers.

Every f'ing convention gives a bounce! And almost every convention bounce goes away within a week or two. Get a grip!

[JI7]

16. yup, reactionary types who base strategy on convention bounces

think everything went wrong because a party got a bounce during their convention.

[BeatleBoot]

18. It costs money to fight back

And timing is everything in a campaign.

By the time Nov 2nd comes around no one will even remember any of the Smear Boat Liars B.S.

Trust me.

[aquart]

8. I thought it was 47-47 this morning?

Wasn't that Rasmussen?

[WI_DEM]

14. that was yesterday

so it means that Rasmussen had a big day for Bush on Wednesday--something like a 10-point lead. That kind of bump won't last.

[Walt Starr]

24. It was the Arnie effect

and the Zell effect won't be reflected until the weekend.

[quinnox]

11. Just wait until the "Zell effect" fully sinks in

He gave a great gift to the Kerry campaign with his over the top hatemongering speech.

[pmbryant]

13. Might as well join Berube on the dark side now

http://www.michaelberube.com/index.php?id=P252

... Everyone wants to know: how could I do it? After a lifetime of believing passionately in egalitarian social justice, in democratic secularism, in human rights for every living human regardless of race, gender, sexuality, or disability, how could I flip to the Republicans in only one night of watching the convention on TV? Exactly how stupid or craven am I?

Well, let's try to figure out just whose horn is being swoggled, people. Do you know how much money we're talking about here? I've spent my adult life as a member of the liberal cultural elite, living in college towns and teaching literature. I thought I was pretty sharp, with my "postmodern" this and my "cultural studies" that. But do you have any idea how the real elite in this country live? Holy mother of God in a public creche, folks, you can't begin to imagine the perks around here. To hell with the cultural elite– they couldn't see Dick Cheney's tax bracket if the entire English department at Harvard stood on each other's shoulders. The political elite is where it's at, people, the economic elite. Now there's an elite. And let me tell you, it is mighty, mighty fine up here. No more Genny Cream Ale in cans for me– there's nothing in this suite but Macallan and Stoli. And the servants couldn't be nicer. Everyone here treats them with honest-to-God conservative compassion, and they seem to be just fine with that.

[zaj]

17. Just statistical fluxuation...

Today...49 45
Sept 1..47 47
Aug 31..47 46
Aug 30..47 46
Aug 29..48 45
Aug 28..47 46
Aug 27..46 46
Aug 26..47 46

[jackstraw45]

19. Relax...anyone who didn't think Bushco would get a bounce was

living in that alternate reality that sometimes clouds DU.

Bush WILL have his bounce...it's just the way it works.

In a few weeks, we should be DEAD even again.

[TheDonkey]

21. That's pretty good. Only behind by 4 after this hate fest.

What are some historic comparisions.

[Tempest]

22. Scott Rasmussen - Former Bush campaign worker

Why anyone here believes a poll from such a partisan source is beyond me.

[Nicholas_J]

23. The Rasmussen is a tracking poll

Taken over a very small period of time (Literally an hour or two) and with a small number of people.A snapshot, rather than a running indication of polling If you look at the methodology, they do a three day rolling average of each days polls, and today is the beginning of a nre peoriod of calculation so there is no averaging in todays poll, as today is the start of a new polling period for them. Todays polls are not averaged in with the last three days.

[onenote]

25. before you jump off a bridge

remember that, even with the Buchanan speech debacle, Pappy Bush got a five point bounce in 1992. Didn't win, though did he....

onenote