Today, for the first time, 455 Freepers came to my site and wept.

[TruthIsAll]

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[FarLeftRage]

1. Great Site!

How do keep track of those who visit?

[patrice]

2. Wow!

Everyone should keep up the good fight; we can do this!

God! Wasn't Zel Miller SCARY last night!!!?!!?????

[Armstead]

3. From your keyboard to God's ear...

I hope the your projections hold true, and really given them freepers a reason to grab their hankies.

[AlCzervik]

4. You do awesome work and i want to thank you because i dont

say that enough. I apperciate your stuff.

[democrat_patriot]

5. Tonite - it it gets depressing - visit this site.

Excellent data.

[TruthIsAll]

6. Hey, you freepers who are knocking the analysis...

And who are self-flagellating at:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1205964/posts

Look at the Zogby poll numbers...
Look at the national poll numbers...

Take a course in Probability and Statistics 101. Be sure to read up on these topics (if you dare):

Monte Carlo Simulation
Random numbers
The normal distribution
Margin of error
Standard deviation
Sampling error of the mean

Sensitivity analysis -hehehehe

I know you don't like to hear the bad news, so just keep watching Fox and CNN. They'll feed you kool-aid propaganda pablum designed to brainwash you into thinking that Bush has caught Kerry in the polls. Keep deluding yourselves.

Watch Kerry make toast of Bush in the next few weeks.

And don't forget to watch Sixty Minutes on Sunday to hear how your boy king got into the Texas National Guard.




http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1205964/posts

[dweller]

7. That's pretty much the total

membership of freeperpublic, ain't it?

oh, that's right, they're all RimJob.
dp

[Tweed]

8. Sweetness

Keep up the polling data. Just avoid the probability stuff.

[Lexingtonian]

9. Nice work

But I'll admit that my own- more rudimentary- version Kerry can't quite win Colorado, Missouri, Arkansas, Tennessee, North Carolina, or Virginia but does win Ohio, has a 50% chance in Arizona, and clings to a 40% chance in West Virginia.

This year Ohio tends to have state polling numbers just about exactly identical to those in national polling. And the electorate is continuing its trend of moving 3% more Democratic every four years- since January every national poll points to a fundamental breakdown of 52%D, 45%R, and 3% Other when you give Kerry 70% of Undecideds and set Nader's share at 3%. Turnout is the big unknown, of course- Rove has to hope for differential in favor of Republicans on the order of 15% and it's Ralph Reed's job to get that.

[TruthIsAll]

10. 655 freeps visiting at 8:36...they want to see how Bush can possibly lose.

tia