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most people did not watch either convention. There was no dramatic news on either side. No way did the polls move up over 11% in one day.
In my view the sampling was probably incorrect
You must remember that for the most part the polls were very wrong in the 2000 election
I believe the demographics have changes enought that just calling 1000 household randomly my not give us an accurate picture especially this year
What about young people minorities old people
In addition something does not seem right
right before the democratic convention the pugs were saying unless Kerry acheived a least a 10 pt bounce, after the convention, Kerry was in trouble. What happened was the poll that they were talking about, gallop, showed a two point drop, and they all said Kerry was in trouble, blah, blah. Two days later most of the other polls showed a 2 to 4 point gain.
before the pugs convention they said their will probably be no change. Boom! 10 plus point gain, exactly the amount they said Kerry needed they got. Preliminary results from the other polls show about a 2 to 4 point bounce, NOT a 10 point gain. We will see in a few days.
The thing to remember, this poll looks very suspect
The good news is that either way Kerry needs to take the gloves off and start trashing these guys.
I want to hear about Plane, the CIA agent outed, Halliburton and Cheney. The misinformation and flip flops this administration has done.
I want Kerry to tell us what he will do, and compare how bush has effectively done nothing
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