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Kerry Holds Slim Lead Over Bush (Canadian Poll)

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joefree1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:09 AM
Original message
Kerry Holds Slim Lead Over Bush (Canadian Poll)
*Didn't they get the memo?!!

Kerry Holds Slim National Lead Over Bush

(CPOD) Sept. 4, 2004 – The Democratic ticket is leading the United States presidential race, according to a poll by Léger Marketing published in Le Devoir. 51 per cent of respondents would vote for John Kerry and John Edwards, while 47 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.

edit ...

Polling Data

If the 2004 presidential election were held today, would you vote for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, or Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independents?

Kerry / Edwards (D)

51%

Bush / Cheney (R)

47%

Nader / Camejo (I)

1%

Source: Léger Marketing / Le Devoir
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 796 likely American voters, conducted on Aug. 30 and Aug. 31, 2004. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.

More ...
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4028

Someone get some "Kool-aid" up to these guys pronto!

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lebkuchen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:13 AM
Response to Original message
1. This is much more plausible than Time's poll
and not because I favor Bush.

No one can tell me that after four days of that RNC hate fest, that Bush's ratings rose to double digits over Kerry post Miller speech.

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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:15 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. If any moderates liked Miller's speech, I would be shocked.
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Fionn Donating Member (79 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 12:11 PM
Response to Reply #1
10. Yes but
It was taken before the Hatefest began. Wasn't it?
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ck4829 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:17 AM
Response to Original message
3. You can tell United States Democracy is in danger when...
Media sources outside the US are more reliable and honest than the ones inside.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:19 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. We have been corrupted by right-wing and corporate media.
They intentionally try to influence elections with slanted reporting and selective use of data and polling.
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WiseMen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:18 AM
Response to Original message
4. How much of a difference can a few days make? New polls will tell.
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StlMo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:20 AM
Response to Original message
6. This poll is much more believable.

There is almost no chance that the Time poll is accurate.
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 10:23 AM
Response to Original message
7. i think Bush is some points ahead
i do think he got a convention bounce. not from any specific speech or anything but because of the overall atmosphere of the news coverage which was just focused on the republican convention. i don't think many undecided swing voters watched the conventions closely but they are influenced by soundbytes and newspaper and magazine covers.

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joefree1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Yeah, not like corporate media would whore themselves ...

...or would they?

At one point, the Times actually quotes Bush strategist Matthew Dowd saying it was "a distinct possibility" the president would emerge from Labor Day with a lead in the polls. This is news? This is front-page news? Given the obvious fact that the race remains so close and Republicans held their convention second, which meant they'd likely enjoy a bump in the polls on the eve of Labor Day, any serious election analyst had to assume Bush might enjoy a lead come Labor Day.

So the question remains, why did the Times run a Page One story speculating about the effects of the Republican Convention, while quoting optimistic Republican strategists, if that same story wasn't worth covering coming out of Boston?
More ...
http://salon.com/politics/war_room//index.html

"It's not over 'till Arnold gropes the fat lady" —Bill Press, on MSNBC




Seating now available in the Smoking Section:
Politics, humor, death and the Devil - http://www.eDiablo.com
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a new day Donating Member (333 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
9. A moment in a different time
The Canadian poll was done 8/30 - 8/31.

Time was thru 9/2, I believe.
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DieboldMustDie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 12:55 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. That would be a pretty big swing in just 2 days.
:shrug:
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joefree1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. Arnie pulled it out for the Rethuglicans
What a guy. :crazy:

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regnaD kciN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
13. Invalid...
Taken before the RNC.

Sorry...
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seabeyond Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-04-04 06:17 PM
Response to Original message
14. sheeet.............maybe that is what dems need, other countries
to step in and take the place of our media and our polling, and our watching our voting precincts and .........
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