Flashback: Polls show Gore with big lead over Bush

[quaoar]

NEWSWEEK: GORE HAS A 10 POINT LABOR DAY LEAD. 9/2/00
WP: GORE'S PEAKING AT THE RIGHT TIME FOR DEMS. 9/2/00
HC: NEWSWEEK POLL GIVES GORE 10% LEAD. 9/3/00
BERNSTEIN: GORE WINNING ELECTORAL VOTE, 223-207. 9/3/00
KCS: GORE SURGES TO 4 POINT LEAD IN MISSOURI. 9/6/00
TP: WHY AL GORE WILL WIN. 9/8/00
WP: DEM ADS DOMINATE CAMPAIGN AGENDA. 9/9/00
USA: GORE CONTINUES TO GAIN GROUND. 9/8/00
BG: GORE POLL SUCCESS CAUSES GOP WORRIES. 9/8/00
USA: GORE NOW LEADS IN ELECTORAL VOTES. 9/11/00
BLOOM: GORE UP BY 8 IN NEWSWEEK POLL. 9/11/00
USA: LATEST NATIONAL POLL SHOWS GORE WINNING BY MORE. 9/12/00
AP: GORE SURGING IN STATE POLLS. 9/12/00
BW: GORE LEADING IN ELECTORAL COLLEGE. 9/14/00
BLOOM: GORE UP BY SIX IN BLOOMBERG POLL. 9/15/Early Edition
REUTERS: GALLOP, PEW POLLS SHOW GORE BY SIX. 9/15/Early Edition
TIME: GORE'S NOW EVEN IN OHIO. 9/15/late edition
NEWSWEEK: GORE 12 POINTS AHEAD IN LATEST POLL. 9/18/00
USA: GORE LEADING FURTHER IN USA POLL. 9/21/00
AP: POLLS SHOW CLOSE PREZ RACE. 9/21/00
BLOOM: GALLUP POLL SHOWS BUSH CATCHING UP. 9/21/00
AP: 50 STATE POLL SHOWS GORE GAINING GROUND. 9/22/00
USA: DAILY POLL HAS GORE AHEAD BY TEN POINTS. 9/22/00
BG: WITH GORE SURGE, DEMS VIEW THE HOUSE. 9/24/00
NYT: NADER FADING IN POLLS. 9/24/00
REUTERS: BUSH CUTS GORE LEAD TO 2 POINTS--NEWSWEEK. 9/24/00
REUTERS: NEW POLLING RESULTS SHOW GORE-TEX TIED. 9/30/00

http://www.bushwatch.com/goreseptember.htm

[West Coast Democrat]

1. I noticed the same thing !(posted on another thread)

I looked at some 2000 polls taken right before Labor Day. As I suspected, not many polls were taken that week (Labor Day was Sept 1st)--I found just 3 at polling report

I found 2 Newseek Polls with odd results that but Gore far ahead in the lead:

8/30-31/00 Gore 49 Bush 39 Others/undecided 1 3 8 755RV Newsweek
8/30-31/00 Gore 53 Bush 41 undecided 6 755RV +/- 4 Newsweek

One was from Pew (a larger sampling & extended time period):

8/24 - 9/10/00 Gore 47 Bush 41 1 2 9 1,999RV Pew

I wonder what would have happened if the Gore campaign had taken these polls too seriously. Very weird numbers.

[liveoaktx]

2. Not a valid comparison either way-the convention JUST ENDED

and has not ever been this late in the year before.

[West Coast Democrat]

3. But that makes the convention "bounce" suspect...

the fact that the polls are taken during a holiday week.