which of the daily tracking polls do you trust the most and watch the most?
Every day the tracking polls are posted here and inevitably some will say "Oh that's a republican poll" or "I don't trust that one because it scews too much towards the democrats", so which polls do you trust the most and watch the most? I know some will say none of them, but I know most people here hungrily look at the polls. Here are the daily tracking polls--rank them in your preference (here they are in alphabetical order):
Gallup George Washington University Hotline/Diagio Rasmussen Research 2000/Daily Kos Zogby/C-Span
9. I don't trust any of them, but I watch the trend. I don't think even the pollsters
have a good feel for what the spread REALLY IS. But I do believe, if you see a consistent upturn or downturn with either candidate, it's a good indicator of the leanings of the electorate.
13. I like to use the averages at FiveThirtyEight.com but individual poll would be Rasmussen
even though Rasmussen is a right-leaning organization and their polls are typically tighter I think they are one of the better regarded in terms of methodology. I believe their tracking poll is made up of 3 days and 3000 voters, much more than most other organizations.
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