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which of the daily tracking polls do you trust the most and watch the most?

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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:41 PM
Original message
which of the daily tracking polls do you trust the most and watch the most?
Every day the tracking polls are posted here and inevitably some will say "Oh that's a republican poll" or "I don't trust that one because it scews too much towards the democrats", so which polls do you trust the most and watch the most? I know some will say none of them, but I know most people here hungrily look at the polls. Here are the daily tracking polls--rank them in your preference (here they are in alphabetical order):

Gallup
George Washington University
Hotline/Diagio
Rasmussen
Research 2000/Daily Kos
Zogby/C-Span


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LSK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:42 PM
Response to Original message
1. Rasmussen because I like to see worst case polls
Edited on Thu Oct-16-08 02:43 PM by LSK
If Obama is leading in biased polls, then it must be good.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:44 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. I agree..... as long as we're leading Rasmussen, I know we're REALLY leading
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SuperTrouper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. Rasmussen and TIPP, they are the worse case scenario. Zogby is pure fantasy
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NMDemDist2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:42 PM
Response to Original message
2. i like watching electoral-vote.com, he takes em all and averages them n/t
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CaliforniaPeggy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:56 PM
Response to Reply #2
14. My dear AZDemDist6!
That's my poll too!

And I love how it's interactive...

:hi:
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:43 PM
Response to Original message
3. Gallup, averaging the two LV models
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demokatgurrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:45 PM
Response to Original message
5. I only look at
www.electoral-vote.com because it's the states (delegates) that matter.
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goodgd_yall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
6. I don't pay attention to daily tracking polls.
I prefer the weekly polls of various states. I find them more useful.
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Schulzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
7. As long as Obama leads in the Rasmussen tracking poll,
I am close to 100% sure that he is ahead. He has no reason to manipulate a poll in Obama's favor.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
9. I don't trust any of them, but I watch the trend. I don't think even the pollsters
have a good feel for what the spread REALLY IS. But I do believe, if you see a consistent upturn or downturn with either candidate, it's a good indicator of the leanings of the electorate.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:50 PM
Response to Original message
10. Just Average Them Or Throw Out The Best And Worst Poll
We're up by five or six...
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:50 PM
Response to Original message
11. Just Average Them Or Throw Out The Best And Worst Poll
We're up by five or six...
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
12. Trust the most: Research 2000
But I take the trend of that poll, Rasmussen (worst case,) and Gallup. I glance at the others except for Zogby.
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WallStreetNobody Donating Member (389 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-16-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
13. I like to use the averages at FiveThirtyEight.com but individual poll would be Rasmussen
even though Rasmussen is a right-leaning organization and their polls are typically tighter I think they are one of the better regarded in terms of methodology. I believe their tracking poll is made up of 3 days and 3000 voters, much more than most other organizations.
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