Marist Polls of Iowa and New Hampshire

[WI_DEM]

Obama Maintains Double-Digit Lead Among Likely Voters in the Hawkeye State: Senator Barack Obama is ahead of Senator John McCain by 8 percentage points among Iowa’s registered voters and has a 10 percentage point margin among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. With about one week to go until Election Day, 48% of registered voters in Iowa support Obama compared with 40% for McCain. Among likely voters, Obama receives 52% to McCain’s 42%. In a Marist Poll conducted last month, 51% of likely voters supported Barack Obama compared with 41% for McCain. Support currently divides along party lines. While Independents were evenly split last month, Obama surges ahead among this group with 63% of their vote. John McCain has the support of just 25% of Independents likely to vote on Election

Candidates Locked in Tight Race…Obama Edges McCain Among Likely Voters: With just eight days until Election Day, Senator Barack Obama and Senator John McCain are in a close contest for New Hampshire’s four electoral votes. Among registered voters in New Hampshire, Obama has 47% to 43% for McCain. Neither candidate has made significant inroads in the Granite State in the past month. In a Marist Poll conducted in September, Obama had 48% among registered voters to McCain’s 45%. Currently, Senator Barack Obama has a narrow lead over McCain among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Obama receives 50% to McCain’s 45% among these voters. Once again, however, neither candidate has statistically gained nor lost ground in the state. In last month’s Marist Poll, the results were similar. 51% of likely voters said they supported Obama while McCain had the backing of 45%. Looking at party support, each candidate’s base remains solid. 93% of Democrats are behind Obama while 90% of Republicans are backing John McCain. Among Independent likely voters, 51% support Barack Obama compared with 39% for McCain. Last month, 54% of Independents likely to vote on Election Day supported Obama and 38% backed McCain.

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