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Obama wins with 286 EVs when counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls! (Up 9)

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KansasVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 08:24 PM
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Obama wins with 286 EVs when counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls! (Up 9)
Obama wins with 286 EVs when only counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls!

If Obama wins the states where he only has a 7 or more point in the Poll Averages, he has 286 Electoral Votes.

I used 7 to counter the margin of error and the (unproven and outdated) Bradley effect.

Basically this is the worst case scenario for Obama!

The drops today were MO (From +1 to Even), PA (From +11 to +9)
The gains today were FL (From +1 to +3), NH (From +7 to +11), CO (From +6 to +7), NV (From +3 to +4)
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Smuckies Donating Member (600 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 08:25 PM
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1. Nice post
We will win all of those states on 11/4.
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archiemo Donating Member (257 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 08:35 PM
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2. Great post...bookmarked for daily reference until 11/4!!!
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KansasVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 08:41 PM
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3. Thanks! How are things in MO? Going to win it?
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archiemo Donating Member (257 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:00 PM
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5. I think we will pull it out! Have to work hard until the polls close!
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KansasVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:10 PM
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6. Good luck! I hope you don't run into any pickles on election day!
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archiemo Donating Member (257 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 09:30 PM
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7. Thanks!!! Hope we are as prepared as DU is....
I know they have added more servers to help with traffic issues and we've added tons of volunteers to GOTV!!! GOBAMA!!!
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Vote2008 Donating Member (599 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-28-08 08:58 PM
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4. Nice post!! Nice to see good news after Gallup! Feel better now!!!
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