*** Breaking PA pollF&M Poll: Obama Crushing McCain in Pennsylvania Obama 53 McCain 40

[grantcart]

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/10/29/fm_poll_obama_crushing_mccain_in_pennsylvania.html

F&M Poll: Obama Crushing McCain in Pennsylvania
A new Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania finds Sen. Barack Obama way ahead of Sen. John McCain, 53% to 40%, among likely voters.

"Obama holds a sizable lead among younger residents, non-whites, college graduates, women, and residents of Philadelphia and Allegheny County. His advantage among these groups has mostly increased since September."

http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/KeyOct08_release.pdf

The October 2008 Franklin and Marshall College Poll of registered Pennsylvania adults finds Democrat Barack Obama leading Republican John McCain by twelve points, 51% to 39%, nearly double the advantage he held among registered adults in September. Obama’s advantage is thirteen points among likely voters in Pennsylvania, 53% to 40%.

Obama holds a sizable lead among younger residents, non-whites, college graduates, women, and residents of Philadelphia and
Allegheny County. His advantage among these groups has mostly increased since September. McCain has an advantage among Protestants, fundamentalist Christians, and residents of Southwestern Pennsylvania (see Table A-1).

White working class voters narrowly favor McCain over Obama 49% to 43%, and his advantage among these voters has remained consistent since September when he was ahead 44% to 42%. McCain’s advantage among white men (47% to 43%) has shrunk since September (51% to 30%) while Obama has maintained his margin among white women (49% to 39% now compared to 49% to 36% in September).

Candidate preference among partisans has strengthened since our September and August surveys; both candidates have about equal support among members of their own party. Obama has an advantage among Independent voters (see Figure 1).
Obama’s favorable ratings have increased since September from 49% favorable to 53% favorable.

McCain’s favorable ratings have dipped slightly from 48% to 45%.



edited to add that Quinnipiac showing the same numbers

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/quinnipiac_fl_oh_pa_102226.php

Pennsylvania 1,364 LV, 2.7%
Obama 53, McCain 41

[knowledgeispwr]

1. Let McCain keep wasting money in PA

Meanwhile, Barack and Michelle visit three locations in NC today!

[PBS Poll-435]

2. Whatever.

PA is in play!

McCain and Palin and Sammy Joe the Plumbin' Ho need to stay there until next Wednesday.

[TrogL]

3. But those aren't true Americans

Obama holds a sizable lead among younger residents, non-whites, college graduates, women, and residents of Philadelphia and Allegheny County

[rniel]

4. Yeah but

Joe the Plummer is coming and he's bringing his plunger. Watch out!

[grantcart]

6. well in that case McCain will be lucky to keep 40%

I am sure that they will love to be talked down to by a no nothing from another state.

[hogwyld]

5. But, what about all of the rest of the state??????? Oh Noes!!!

Sure Obama leads in Philly and Pittsburgh, but if the rest of the state goes to McPhlailin' it could get close enough to steal...

[Vinca]

7. But, but, but . . . Grandpa's internal polling . . .

:rofl:

[David__77]

8. Obama will win comfortably. No Kerry states are in play.

And we'll definitely get what we need from among IA, NM, VA, CO, and NV in order to hit the magic number.

[PA Democrat]

9. This is great. Polling in PA was very tight in 2004 at this point.