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“There is an alarming shift in key demographic segments that do not bode well for the Senator,”

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CatWoman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 04:40 PM
Original message
“There is an alarming shift in key demographic segments that do not bode well for the Senator,”
the senator being referred to is Saxby Chambliss, (R), (Chickenhawk Asshole)

In polls, Buckley has been drawing 2 to 6 percent of the vote in a Senate race that has gotten a lot closer in recent weeks. Under Georgia law, which requires the winning candidate to get a majority of the votes, that would probably be enough to force the race into a runoff Dec. 2.

That possibility has drawn a lot of attention, not just here in Georgia but nationally as well. With Democrats within reach of 60 Senate seats, the magic number needed to prevent filibusters, the seat now held by Republican incumbent Saxby Chambliss has become a critical hold for the GOP. And typically, incumbents drawn into a runoff don’t do well.

According to the three-page memo Page 1 | Page2 | Page 3., faxed anonymously to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, McLaughlin & Associates conducted a series of polls immediately after debates among the three candidates.

“There is an alarming shift in key demographic segments that do not bode well for the Senator,” the memo states. “Our data indicates that support among the 35-50 and 50-65 white male segment is softening. It also appears that they trending towards the Libertarian candidate.”

The memo, on what purports to be McLaughlin & Associates letterhead, was allegedly written by Brian Larkin, director of qualitative research at McLaughlin. When contacted at his office in New York Tuesday, Larkin denied any knowledge or involvement. When I mentioned I had the alleged memo in my hand, on McLaughlin letterhead with his name as its author, the phone went silent for a few moments. Larkin then asked for my phone number and promised to return the call.

Ten minutes later, he called and again denied his company had conducted any polling in the Georgia race. Later that afternoon, company CEO and founder John McLaughlin called to reiterate that claim, calling the memo a forgery.

Given its unknown source, we initially decided not to report on the memo unless we could tie down some loose ends. That decision changed when McLaughlin called late Wednesday morning to say he had leaked “to some of my media friends that somebody is trying to do this as a dirty trick,” and that other reporters may be on the story.

This has already been a strange election season. But come Nov. 5, it would become stranger still should a Georgia Libertarian become kingmaker of the U.S. Senate, his influence critical in determining whether Democrats make it to 60 seats.

http://www.ajc.com/blogs/content/shared-blogs/ajc/bookman/index.html
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MonteLukast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 04:41 PM
Response to Original message
1. "does not bode well for Senator Chambliss"-- words of beauty. (nm)
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
15. Sounds so good.
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codjh9 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
2. 'alarming shift' sounds good to me. :^)
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Dennis Donovan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
3. After what they did to Max Cleland, I hope Saxby loses everything!
His Senate seat, his house, even his dog!

He's an amoral piece of dung!:grr:
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 04:43 PM
Response to Original message
4. Rec'd! and kick
for getting chambliss outta there.
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
5. Its in our hands now.
We've got to work like the devil to GET OUT OUR VOTE. We are the ground game Barack is counting on. If you want a veto proof majority then help knock off the Chambliss' in the senate. Knock on doors, make calls, donate money, and drive folks to the polls.

The time to change America is now - or never. Do it for our party, our nation, and our children.

YES WE CAN
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Laelth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 05:44 PM
Response to Original message
6. Please help get rid of the pustule!
For your inspection, front and center:


PUSTULE

Donate to Chambliss' Democratic opponent, Jim Martin, now! A little money can go a long way in this race.

Donate to Jim Martin's campaign here!

Check the latest polls on this race here: http://www.pollster.com/polls/ga/08-ga-sen-ge-cvm.php


The United States is a LIBERAL Country.

:dem:

-Laelth
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dgibby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. I donated last week.
Started a thread about defeating Chambliss, but it sunk like a stone. Thanks for posting. Notheing would make me happier than to see this POS out on the street after what he did to Max.
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Laelth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:15 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. I thank you from the bottom of my heart.
It is an extreme embarrassment to have to admit that Chambliss represents me in the Senate. Of course, he never has really represented me. He has always represented the rich, the powerful, and the monolithic Republican machine, but I digress. I would like someone to actually represent me, for a change, in the Senate. Jim Martin, I think, will do that. So, thanks!

The United States is a LIBERAL Country. (and Georgia is a moderate state)

:dem:

-Laelth
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dgibby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 10:56 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. You're very welcome. I'm a vet, and hate what he did to Max.
I know exactly how you feel. I live in SC. Hopefully, Linda Ketner is going to win a seat in the House, so at least I'll have one rep. Certainly, Lindsey Graham doesn't represent me.
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Laelth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. What Chambliss did to Cleland, a true patriot, is inexcusable.
Thanks for your service to our country.

:patriot:

The United States is a LIBERAL Country.

:dem:

-Laelth
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Manifestor_of_Light Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 02:38 AM
Response to Reply #6
22. An insult to honorable butt boils everywhere.
:rofl:
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Laelth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 08:16 AM
Response to Reply #22
26. *chuckle* n/t
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AspenRose Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 05:51 PM
Response to Original message
7. Karma is coming to pay a visit
I don't know who I detest more, Chambliss or Cornyn (TX). They're cut from the same cloth.
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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 05:54 PM
Response to Original message
8. Good. Now he can crawl back up Rove's butt where he belongs.
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symbolman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #8
13. except for the fact
that it's too Crowded in there :)
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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 01:37 AM
Response to Reply #13
20. Kind of like 'under the bus" for failed republican trolls...heh.
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symbolman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 07:30 AM
Response to Reply #20
25. Could be to them it Smells like a Bus in there..
and the view is pretty much what they're used to :)

Maybe that's the Merry Prankster Scene or assholish repigs, instead of Kesey's "You're either ON the Bus or you're OFF the Bus.." in Their Groovin' scene, "You're Either IN Rove's Rather Expansive Colon or You're OUT of his Wonderous Colon.."

Though with the size of his head and Ego up there it's gotta be tight, like isaid, Crowded :)
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Epiales Donating Member (61 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
9. Long overdue to Shamble-his-ass into obscurity.
Of all of the incumbents I'd like to see fall, I especially look forward to his.
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Laelth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 11:40 PM
Response to Reply #9
19. Welcome to DU!
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Renaissance Man Donating Member (420 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
12. Another thing to Consider.
Edited on Wed Oct-29-08 09:22 PM by Renaissance Man
The African-American early vote percentage in Georgia is almost 200% of what it was in 2004. These are early voters, people, and that's something to think about.

If Democrats can really get out the vote in the African-American community on election day, the Democratic opponent may not even have to worry about going to a runoff. Every vote for Sen. Obama (early vote and vote on election day) is essentially a vote for Saxby's opponent. He might get the shock of his life Tuesday.

I was talking to a cousin of mine (African-American female) and she lives in a heavily Democratic African-American voting area (College Park, GA) in the Metro Atlanta area, and she told me today that she waited in line 3 hours to vote.
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
14. Wow. Great news. Chambliss is one of the worst on the Rethugs in my opinion.
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iceman66 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 11:01 PM
Response to Original message
17. Good.
Asshole wouldn't even be in the Senate if not for Diebold.

He deserves to lose and lose big.
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kerry-is-my-prez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 02:01 AM
Response to Original message
21. Yes!!! I will recommend this thread despite the "teaser"
Normally, they royally piss me off - but this is great news.....
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 07:03 AM
Response to Original message
23. Oh, please let it be.
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NC_Nurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 07:06 AM
Response to Original message
24. I pray this holds true. That man is despicable.
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